New Mason-Dixon Poll Shows Northam 44%, Gillespie 43%, for Governor
The third poll in two days for Virginia’s gubernatorial race basically shows what the other two polls did: it’s anybody’s race.
Released on Tuesday, Mason-Dixon Poll’s numbers are almost identical to Monday’s polls:
- Ed Gillespie (R): 43 percent
- Ralph Northam (D): 44 percent
- Cliff Hyra (L): 2 percent
- Undecided: 11 percent
- Northam has a substantial lead in Northern Virginia (57-30 percent) and also leads in Hampton Roads (45-39 percent).
- Gillespie has a commanding hold over the rural areas (Central Virginia, Shenandoah 53-36 percent; Lynchburg/Southside 52-35 percent); Roanoke/Southwest 57-32 percent).
The margin of error was +/- 4 percent.
Mason-Dixon adds, “One factor that might give Northam an inside track is that there is a higher percentage of undecided black voters (18%) and those who identify themselves as Democrats (13%) — voters who strongly support him — than there are among undecided whites (9%) and Republicans (11%) — groups who strongly support Gillespie.”
It’s a close race and will all come down to who can turn out their people.