PPP: Cuccinelli Leads Among Conservatives, Moderates

Earlier Lynn mentioned George Allen’s resounding lead against his GOP primary opponents in results of Public Policy Polling’s latest sweep of the Commonwealth.

But George Allen isn’t the only clear winner among Virginia Republicans. Ken Cuccinelli leads Bill Bolling in early gubernatorial polling, 45-21 overall. Among ‘very conservative’ voters, he leads 56-15. Cuccinelli’s appeal to moderates is the real story however, where he leads Bolling 40-22. He also leads 34-25 with ‘somewhat conservative’ voters as well.

As the first Attorney General to take on Obamacare, Cuccinelli has become something of a folk hero among Tea Party voters and other conservatives. His name recognition is astounding for the tier 3 statewide officeholder. According to PPP: “71% of GOP primary voters have an opinion about him and they break down favorably 56/15. Only 41% know Bolling and they break down 28% favorable and 13% unfavorable.”

Rick Perry also emerged as the favorite for President, gaining support from 20% of Republicans. He beat announced candidates like Mitt Romney (16%), Michelle Bachmann (15%), Sarah Palin (13%), Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich (6%) and down from there.

  • These are amazing numbers for Cuccinelli, and they have to be cause for concern for Bolling. Especially given his low name ID, despite long public service. It will be interesting to see how Bolling begins to manage this perception in the next year or so. Being very public in his support for Romney is sure to be part of the strategy – but given Perry’s popularity, one has to wonder if that will pay-off.

  • Kathy Mateer

    While Perry appeals to me far more than Romney, I have a hard time believing he would be able to win with Romney’s support among the ones with money. While I respect Bill Bolling’s decision to back away from running for Governor last time, it may have hurt him in the long run, especially with Cuccinelli’s national press because of the Health Care debacle. I would LOVE to see a Perry/McDonnell ticket!

  • Conservativa

    Right now it’s about name recognition. The PPP article says “Cuccinelli has simply become much better known than Bolling is.” Bolling can fix that, and the Romney association will help.

  • KASimpson

    I take this poll with a grain of salt. It looks like the Democrats trying to stir up trouble in the GOP. The credibility of this is joke at best.

    Shocker – a Democrat polling firm runs a poll against the leading contender to run for Gov in 2013 and predicts doom and gloom. Please, they just want to cause drama in the party.

  • John Scott

    Think it’s well noted that Cuccinelli has more name id than Bolling.

    Anyone who compares yesterday’s results to the March poll should seriously wonder if PPP even reads its own findings and checks to see if it is conflicting with previous results:

    Yesterday’s poll claims only 41% of GOP voters have an opinion of LG and is 37-11 with conservatives. March’s PPP poll has a 59% opinion rating from ALL voters, with conservatives at 59-4.

    If this were the case, three things would be true:
    1. The Lieutenant Governor has LOST 20 points in name ID (didn’t even know that was possible.)
    2. The Lieutenant Governor has dropped 15 points in conservative name ID (really don’t know how this is possible.)
    3. The Lieutenant Governor’s positives have dropped 22 points. Even if that were true, which it isn’t, what was the issue(s) to cause the fallout? I’m pretty sure job creation and casting epic tie-breaking votes this Senate session bumped him UP a bit…

  • I can understand Bill Bolling having lower name recognition since being lieutenant governor isn’t the most visible job (especially in a state with a part-time legislature), but what should we make of Ken Cuccinelli’s relatively good numbers with moderates? I thought the media narrative of Cooch is that he would scare off moderates. Does this mean that the agenda he has pursued–going after Obamacare and the EPA–might actually be more popular than we have been led to believe or does it suggest that the self-described moderates in the GOP are more conservative than they were a few years ago when the parties were less homogeneous?

  • Aaron G

    I remember being at several forums in which Cuccinelli promised that he would NOT run for Governor in 2013.

  • Not Jeff Frederick

    I used to cast KC off as a conservative whack-job and supported John Brownlee for AG. However, KC has been steadfastly true to principle and not deviated from rule of law and states rights on so many cases that special interests have tried to politicize.

    The only initiative Bolling ever takes is making opponents with no chance of victory bleed (Muldoon), taking credit for McDonnell’s successes, and shoving BBQ in his pothole. Nor can Bolling beat Warner or MacAuliffe statewide.

    Governor is position of leadership, and thus far Bolling has only proven to be entitled through establishment politics, not performance.

    Cuccinelli for US Senate, Connaughton for Governor.

  • Steve Vaughan

    Not finding this surprising. I’ve been saying since 2009 that if Cuccinelli wanted to run for governor in 2013 he’d eat Bill Bolling’s lunch, in a primary or a convention. Bolling just doesn’t excite that many people. It is interesting that Bolling does better against the two potential Dem candidates – Periello and McAuliffe – tested than Cuccinelli does. That could mean that, while he doesn’t stir up the base as much, he doesn’t scare independents as much either.

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.