Saxman: Statewide Races Ranked

By Chris Saxman

These rankings are based primarily on three basic data sets:

1 – Cash on Hand (COH) – what a candidate raises is the first big step but they also have to spend it wisely.
2 – Raw Number of Donors – there is a big difference between getting 50 donors at $1k each for $50k versus 10,000 donors at $5 each for $50k.
3 – Total Money Raised – Losing candidates typically say “I was OUT SPENT!” No. You were out raised. Another big difference.

In Jerry Maguire, Rod Tidwell’s family motto is “Show Me the Money!” 

Democratic Races – 15 Candidates

Governor – 5

1 – former Governor Terry McAuliffe
2 – former Delegate Jennifer Carroll Foy
3 – State Senator Jennifer McClellan
4 – Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax
5 – Delegate Lee Carter

Lt. Governor – 8

1 – Delegate Sam Rasoul
2 – Delegate Hala Ayala
3 – Norfolk City Council Member Andria McClellan
4 – Sean Perryman – Fairfax NAACP leader
5 – Delegate Elizabeth Guzman
6 – Delegate Mark Levine
7 – Xavier Warren
8 – Paul Goldman

Attorney General – 2

1 – Attorney General Mark Herring
2 – Delegate Jay Jones

Republican Races – 13 Candidates

Governor – 6

1 – State Senator Amanda Chase
2 – Delegate Kirk Cox
3 – Pete Snyder
4 – Glenn Youngkin
5 – State Senator Emmett Hanger
6 – Sergio de la Pena

Lt. Governor – 5

1 – Delegate Glenn Davis
2 – former Delegate Tim Hugo
3 – Lance Allen
4 – Puneet Ahluwalia
5 – former Delegate Winsome Sears

Attorney General – 3

1 – Delegate Jason Miyares
2 – Chesterfield Supervisor Leslie Haley
3 – Chuck Smith