New Poll, Same Results: Allen Commanding Lead, Radtke -28 Hypothetical Against Kaine
By D.J. Spiker | Sunday, May 8th, 2011 | Politics, VirginiaWaPo is out with a poll showing the results of the near-foregone conclusion general election contest of Governor George Allen and Governor Tim Kaine, showing a dead heat tie at 46%.
While most of the poll focused on the match-up of the two political heavyweights, WaPo was kind enough to gage the primary fields for Republicans and Democrats, as well as a hypothetical match-up of Tim Kaine and Jamie Radtke.
In the Republican nomination battle:
George Allen: 54%
Tim Donner: N/R
Jamie Radtke: 2%
Corey Stewart: 3%
Bob Marshall: 4%
Earl Jackson: 1%
David McCormick: 3%
Someone else: 3%
Would not vote: 2%
No opinion: 28%
If you’re not George Allen…ouch. If you’re the candidate who’s out spending their fundraising by 2:1 only to be out-polled by 3 people, 2 of whom aren’t even in the race (yet), double ouch.
Likely match up of George Allen and Tim Kaine:
Allen: 46%
Kaine: 47%
Would not vote: 3%
No opinion: 6%
Unlikely match up of Tim Kaine and Jamie Radtke:
Radtke: 29%
Kaine: 57%
Would not vote: 4%
No opinion: 9%
As if that weren’t enough bad news, WaPo polled the current approval rating of George Allen’s performance as Senator, the centerpiece of the Radtke campaign strategy. The result? 54% approval, only 24% disapproval and 23% had no opinion.
There’s is a glimmer of good news for Radtke in the poll, her favorables outweigh her unfavorables, unlike the previous PPP poll indicated. However, 79% of respondents still had no opinion.
Is it a super early/meaningless poll? Yes. Does it reflect the likely outcome of the nominations? Yes. Should it have an impact on campaign strategy? Almost definitely. Will it? Doubtful.
Update: Check-out Ken Falkenstein’s answers to my questions
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Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right...entrenched on the right as a member of the Establishment, proudly tattooed member of the Republican Party, bartender by trade serving both sides the libations needed to continue the debate and discourse. College student, ten years late, majoring in Public Policy and Administration with an eye to serving the conservative and Republican movement in the public or private sector. ducit amor patriae You can find D.J.on facebook, Twitter, or contact via email at gosport.conservative@gmail.com. You can find D.J.on facebook, Twitter, or contact via email at gosport.conservative@gmail.com.
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Comments
10 Responses to "New Poll, Same Results: Allen Commanding Lead, Radtke -28 Hypothetical Against Kaine"
To all the naysayers here and abroad at the other blogs…. “told ya so”.
Here? Not quite sure the contributors here have said that Allen couldn’t win. Maybe some of those that comment from time to time, but certainly not any of the post authors or editors.
As Kaine and Allen received near approvals in their voting across the board, it’s obvious this was a popularity contest. Good news for the Republicans, Radtke polled 8 points higher in her head-to-head with Kaine than her “No Opinions” which means that people who have no opinion of her are voting against the Democrats. With Radtke at 79% No Opinion, there’s not much to discuss here.
Eighteen months is a long time in politics, the media is already going after Allen for his “what position do you play?” comment.
Hopefully, the establishment Republicans don’t remind us why most Americans look at politics, pundits and politicians with disdain.
John, what media is going after Allen?
Ryan Nobles at NBC12 killed that ‘story’ in it’s tracks weeks ago. With the media hungry for an Allen slip-up, it’s gotten no play for a reason.
Radtke needs to drop the George Allen campaign, and run her own race. Pointing to a record that majority of Virginians approve of just solidifies Allen. Move on.
I thought it was a tasteless attack on Allen but it gave us a taste of what’s to come. It hasn’t gotten any traction because it’s not the media’s priority. If it was Oct ’12, it would be on front pages and top stories across America.
As for Radtke, I agree the attacks on Allen doesn’t help her. But I also believe the pundits should let her run her own race and not do Allen’s dirty work.
@JR, I believe most posters haven’t written off Allen either. Bearing Drift’s position didn’t need clarified, we already know where BD stands.
Another day, another damning poll.
Surprised that Kaine is doing so well… and then again, not so surprised. 28% undecided — that’s an interesting number.
The leftstream media will sit on macaca until they can put it to use for their agenda. Minorities are not in the bag for Allen, not by any measure.
As if minorities would vote for a tea bagger like Rat-ke….
I just think the need to fire Harry Reid and get majority in the Senate is too important. It is clear that Allen is in the strongest position to win back this seat, and while I respect all the candidates in the race, my hope is that they will not engage in nasty personal attacks in the nomination contest so we can be united in defeating Tim Kaine.
Allen in a walk for the GOP nomination and in a dog fight with Kaine in the general election. That’s not surprising. It’s hardly news. Exactly what one would expect to see.
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