Unprecedented Republican lead in polling
By Brian Kirwin | Tuesday, August 31st, 2010 | PoliticsWe’re nearing one of the two crucial stretches in campaigning. Labor Day weekend is one of the times when people traditionally settle on preferences for the November ballot. You’ll see it in poll after poll after poll. (The second is the final two weeks when “undecideds” decide, and even those are usually people who pretty much decided much earlier, and only solidified their leanings, or decide to not show up at all).
Entering the Labor Day threshold, the Democrats are being trounced by a margin unseen before in the history of Gallup polling!
Gallup shows a 10 point lead in voter preference for Republicans over Democrats, double the lead the GOP had in the Republican takeover of Congress in 1994!
“higher than any previous midterm Republican advantage in Gallup’s history of tracking the generic ballot, which dates to 1942. Prior to this year, the highest such gap was five points, measured in June 2002 and July 1994.”
Republican numbers have pretty much hovered where they are for the last several months, but have rarely gotten near 50% in the past 60 years. They are over that now. Democrat numbers have collapsed to 41%. Even in 1994, Democrats scored 46% in this same poll.
Democrats have dropped to the hardcore Party base. They are showing zero, zilch, nada support among Independents with numbers like this.
Part of this is likely to candidates across the country launching television campaign spots much earlier than usual, casting the dye in August rather than waiting for the fall. But mostly, this looks like a monster wave that will make the 50-plus seat win in 1994 look like a pre-season game.
Tags:
Contribute for Conservatism!
Share this post
About the author
The right wants to jeer him. The left wants to censor him. Moderates usually want both. Brian Kirwin is a political consultant and public relations strategist in Virginia Beach with a lightning-rod flair. Brian also serves on the VB Arts & Humanities Commission and frequently appears on Hampton Roads theatrical stages, if only to prove that all actors aren’t liberals. Kirwin’s columns stir up debate and hit the political scene with no punches pulled.
We're 75% there! Thank you to everyone who has so far contributed! Just $2000 to go!
Comments
8 Responses to "Unprecedented Republican lead in polling"
Someone alert the press, Mike has yet to post a comment about raising taxes in nearly a few hours!
Agree… Mike has to make sure that he has downloaded the talking points from Daily Kos and the Huffington Post so he can cut and paste here as usual.
Hmmmm. One would think that with unemployment extended out to 99 weeks, highest number of food stamp recipients in recent years and other subsidy entitlements at record levels, the democrats would have built up an amazing large constituency. When October comes and the President reminds them that all that will go away, what will the Gallup record then? OMG, Pelosi might even be a heroine! Just being devil’s advocate :-0
On to Victory in November!
Since I have started reading Kos, I can do talking points.
Lets see,
Obama Catfood Commissioner Threatens Small Town with Nuclear Annihilation
Specter lost his election because he endorsed Sarah Palin.
The Tea Party is about to declare all-out war on the Republican Party.
The famous democrat coffee party will have a HUGE DC rally on 10/02/2010 where of Trillions of citizens who want higher taxes will rally. They are going to teach racists Glenn Beck and Dr. Alveda King a lesson.
Mulla Nasrudin’s donkey upset the union members because of his lack of support of card check. Now the EPA has labeled the donkey as an environmental hazard because he produces CO2.
“The number of Republicans in the United States grew in August while the number of Democrats slipped a bit and the gap between the parties fell to the smallest advantage for Democrats in five years.”
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends
This was a surprise to me and it is an indubitable fact that this does not bode well for democrats.
“The number not affiliated with either major party is now at 31.1%. That’s the lowest level measured in 2010.”
The number of independents is decreasing. That does not bode well for an independent like me.
I think that this country needs a third party alternative to the democrats and republicans. But the independents who should be the core of such a party are now becoming republicans.
James,
Third parties seldom work going back at least to Anderson and Perot. Independents will overwhelmingly suck votes out of the R column and thereby assist the D totals.
Much as I hate it I’ll probably vote R in Nov rather than for Kenny. Where is Bert when we need him?
John: While indpendent parties “seldom work” sometimes they do. The Republicans began as the third party.
Leave your response