Polls Increase as We March Toward November Midterms
Polls are heating up as the race to November brings attention to elections across the country. My belief in polls took a beating in 2016 and something is still askew as pollsters work to fine-tune their models while dealing with a cynical public that sometimes misleads questioners.
However, it’s difficult to overlook these snapshots into public thinking. It’s a habit. We want to believe the numbers don’t lie and so we still seek them out so, with that in mind, here are some of the latest polling results that I’ve been reading this morning.
UVa’s Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has new updates analyzing upcoming races that are worth the read.
–The Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2022 Midterm Congressional Elections – Sabato’s Crystal Ball (centerforpolitics.org) by James E. Campbell
–Forecasting 2022 Using the Fundamentals: The Structural and Structure X Models – Sabato’s Crystal Ball (centerforpolitics.org) by Charles Tien and Michael S. Lewis-Beck
–Notes on the State of Politics: Sept. 7, 2022 – Sabato’s Crystal Ball (centerforpolitics.org) by Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
–Senate Rating Changes: Arizona, Pennsylvania to Leans Democratic – Sabato’s Crystal Ball (centerforpolitics.org) by Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
The Cook Political Report is looking at voter attitudes.
Democrats Winning Over the “Meh” Voter | Cook Political Report by Amy Walter
Wednesday’s Politico Playbook PM tapped into gubernatorial race numbers around the country including Georgia, Michigan, Texas, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, and Illinois.
And of course, there’s always Real Clear Politics with their fingers on the pulse of the polling spectrum.
We have two months to go until election day. Stay tuned….
