Here’s another good article (The GOP Is Blowing What Was Supposed to Be a ‘Red Tsunami’ in November) [1] that talks about how, 1) the nomination of some terrible candidates, and 2) the voter enthusiasm impact of the Hobbs decision, may have destroyed the chance that Republicans will regain control of the U.S. Senate this November.
In addition to Georgia and Pennsylvania, where terribly flawed Republican nominees are trailing their Democratic opponents, the article also highlights these other states that could be problematic for the GOP:
–Wisconsin, where incumbent Republican Senator Ron Johnson who is one of the most conservative members of the Senate Republican Caucus, is trailing Democrat Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes.
–Ohio, where Republican J.D. Vance is in a too-close-to-call race with Democrat Rep. Tim Ryan. Ohio should have been a fairly safe seat for Republicans to hold following the retirement of Senator Rob Portman.
–Florida, where Senator Marco Rubio is also in a too-close-to-call/ back-and-forth-in-the-polls race with Rep. Val Demings. Florida should also be a fairly safe seat for Republicans in a mid-term election.
My guess is that Republicans will hold on in Ohio and Florida, but if they lose in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Democrats will gain two seats in the Senate.