CNU Wason Poll: Virginia Gubernatorial Frontrunners Are McAuliffe, Chase

A new poll released Friday shows that most Virginians are undecided at this point about upcoming 2021 Virginia elections, according to the Wason Center for Civic Leadership at Christopher Newport University.

A summery of key items shows:

1. Former Gov. Terry McAuliffe opens Democrats’ primary race for governor with a quarter of the vote (26%), but half of Democratic voters are undecided (49%).

2. State Sen. Amanda Chase leads Republican field for governor with 17%, with former Virginia House Speaker Kirk Cox at 10% and tech entrepreneur Pete Snyder at 6%; but 55% of Republican voters say they are undecided.

3. No candidate for lieutenant governor has made much of an impression on voters in the crowded Democratic field, with most voters undecided (78%).

4. Virginia Beach Del. Glenn Davis (8%) leads the field for the Republican lieutenant governor nomination, but most voters are undecided (71%).

5. Attorney General Mark Herring (42%) holds a commanding lead for Democrats’ nomination to a third term, but half of Democratic voters are undecided (50%).

6. Virginia Beach lawyer Chuck Smith (10%) leads the race for the Republican attorney general nomination, but two-thirds of voters are undecided (68%).

7. With all 100 House of Delegates seats up in November, Democrats lead Republicans in a generic ballot, 49% to 37%.

8. Deep partisan division defines voters, with 83% of Democrats approving Gov. Ralph Northam’s job performance, while 79% of Republicans disapprove.

More from the Wason Center:

In the Democratic primary contest for governor….

-Terry McAuliffe: 26%

-Justin Fairfax: 12%

-Jennifer Carrol Foy: 4%

-Jennifer McClellan: 4%

-Lee Carter: 1%

-Undecided: 49%

Of the Democratic contest, Wason Center Academic Director Dr. Quentin Kidd noted, “New Democratic faces and priorities have emerged since Terry McAuliffe was governor. He opens with a head start, but he’s a long way from closing the deal.”

In the Republican primary contest for governor…..

-Amanda Chase: 17%

-Kirk Cox: 10%

-Pete Snyder: 6%

-Undecided: 55%

Of the Republican candidates, Wason Center Research Director Dr. Rebecca Bromley-Trujillo noted, “The underlying friction between Chase’s fervent Trumpism and Cox’s Reagan Republican credentials could crack the party and open the door for Snyder or another contender.”

The results of this survey are based on interviews of 1,005 Virginia registered voters, conducted Jan. 31-Feb. 14, 2021. The margin of error for the whole survey is 3.4%. The full report is attached and online at

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