VCU Poll: Biden Over Trump, Warner Over Gade

A new poll from the Center for Public Policy at the L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs at Virginia Commonwealth University shows Democrats doing well in the presidential and U.S. senate races that will be decided on November 3.

President:

-Joe Biden (D): 53%
-Donald Trump (R): 39%

Biden has moved three percentage points ahead of his showing in the July VCU poll where he held at 50 percent. He leads in south Central Virginia (65%-22%), Northern Virginia (59%-32%) and Tidewater (56%-33%).

Trump leads in the rural areas of western Virginia (63%-36%) and northwestern Virginia (58%-36%).

U.S. Senate:

-Mark Warner (D): 55%
-Daniel Gade (R): 38%

More takeaways from the VCU poll:

Gender and region were significant to the vote choice for both races. In the presidential race, women were more likely to prefer Biden over Trump by 22 percentage points (58%-36%) and men prefer Biden over Trump by a smaller margin of 5 points (47%-42%). This represents a shift for men, who were more likely to say they would vote for Trump in a poll released by the Wilder School in July.

The Commonwealth Poll September 2020, sponsored by Virginia Commonwealth University, obtained telephone interviews with a representative sample of 804 adults, age 18 or older, living in Virginia. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline (402) and cellphone (402, including 241 without a landline). The data collection was conducted by Responsive Management from Aug. 28- Sept. 7.