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Holsworth: June 22, 2020, Virginia Covid-19 Update

Editor’s note: Bearing Drift is grateful to Dr. Bob Holsworth for permission to share his daily Virginia coronavirus updates. For more, follow him on Facebook [1].


Numbers on Pause: Test Positivity Percentage Down

1. Hospitalizations Trending Down

The Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association’s (VHHA) daily reports have bumped up and down within a narrow range the past 3 days. Today, there are 848 COVID-19 patients in hospitals, On Friday there were 862 patients. This is down from 1171 to weeks ago, so the trend continues in the right direction.

2. Cases Steady from 1 Week Ago

The Virginia Department of Health (VDH) has reported confirmed cases numbers of 650, 551, and 471 the past three days. The 3-day total (1672) is almost the same as the 3-day total one week ago (1675).

The best news continues to be case decline in the NOVA communities. Yesterday’s number of 154 confirmed cases in NOVA communities remains within the low range that we have been seeing.

I’m not seeing any huge causes for concern, though I should note that the daily numbers in the Hampton Roads communities appear to be inching up – 70 or so cases per day when the number was lower weeks ago. We’ll watch this as the week proceeds.

The test positivity ratio continued down to 6.5% and this was also encouraging.

3. Emerging Decisions

Fortunately, Virginia has not been moving in the clear upward direction in terms of case counts that we’ve been watching in other southern states. I’ve noticed that several southern universities that have begun to bring athletes back and several professional teams that had commenced training activities have reported positive cases.

Once we get past July 4th, attention will begin to focus far more intently on the reopening of schools and colleges. Although the severity of the virus has not impacted young people in the same way it has the elderly, considerable anxiety will accompany the reopening of educational institutions. A continued decline in case numbers would help to ease it.