CNU Wason Poll: Virginia Governor Race Remains Tight

With three weeks left until election day, a newly released Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Public Policy poll shows a tightening Virginia gubernatorial race:

Ed Gillespie (R): 44 percent
Ralph Northam (D): 48 percent
Cliff Hyra (L): 3 percent
Undecided: 5 percent
Margin of error: +/- 4.2 percent

CNU offered a summary of their key findings:

1. Democrat Ralph Northam’s 4-point lead over Republican Ed Gillespie is the slimmest since the Wason Center’s September 25 benchmark survey.

2. While Northam’s vote has ranged between 47% and 49%, Gillespie’s vote has increased from 41% to 44%.

3. As Gillespie’s share increased and Northam’s decreased in this poll, the gap is within the poll’s margin of error for the first time in this tracking series.

4. Democratic candidates lead Republican candidates in the generic House of Delegates ballot test, 48% to 40%.

The Wason Center added:

The Wason Center surveyed 1,085 registered voters, including 642 who were determined to be likely voters, October 9-13. The results reported here are of those 642 likely voters, which carry a margin of error of +/- 4.2% at the 95% level of confidence. Likely voters are registered voters with a history of voting in recent statewide elections, who also say they definitely or probably will vote in the upcoming election.

The poll does not include lieutenant governor and attorney general numbers.

Check out the Wason Poll to dig deeper into the crosstabs.

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