2017 Post Primary Analysis and Open Thread

7pm: Polls have closed for this June 13, 2017, primary. As returns come in, stay with Bearing Drift for all the latest.

Meanwhile, you can catch up on Bearing Drift’s post with reports from throughout the Commonwealth with information about local precinct turnout.

A reminder of the Bearing Drift Political Junkies’ predictions (see 2017 Primary Predictions from Bearing Drift’s Political Junkies).

7:30: First precincts are trickling into VPAP.

7:25: Trixie Averill called to alert that there were no Democratic signs at Lindenwood precinct where she was a poll watcher for Gillespie, nor workers or literature. One sign showed up later and she suspects it was brought by Dick Cranwell. Voters were 3-1 Republican in the red precinct.

8:05: GOVERNOR:
With 1,167 of 2,561 precincts reporting (45.57%), Republican Ed Gillespie is leading (43.48%), Corey Stewart (41.77%), Frank Wagner (14.74%).

With 1,167 of 2,561 precincts reporting (45.57%), Democrat Ralph Northam is leading 57.24% over Tom Perriello with 42.76%.

8:16pm GOVERNOR
Ed Gillespie has a slight edge over Corey Stewart in Loudon County: 44.17% vs 44.10% with almost all precincts reporting, and he leads in Fairfax as well with 34% of the votes.

Corey Stewart won Fauquier County 51.26% to 38.77%, and looks like he’ll take Prince William County, 60.22% to Ed’s 31.41%

These are all big counties, making the vote total between the two very close.

8:26pm LT. GOVERNOR

Jill Vogel is leading Bryce Reeves slightly statewide, 41.99% to 41.05%. About 2,000 votes separate them.

8:31 GOVERNOR

Ed Gillespie maintains a slight lead, about 1,500 votes.

Candidate Votes Percent
Edward W. “Ed” Gillespie
Republican
113,988 43.47%
Corey A. Stewart
Republican
112,409 42.87%
Frank W. Wagner
Republican
35,816 13.66%

8:45: GOVERNOR
Pretty VPAP map with about 80% of the vote:

8:50 GOVERNOR
Republican: With 2,130 of 2,561 precincts reporting (83.17%), ED GILLESPIE (43.45%), COREY STEWART (43.09%), FRANK WAGNER (13.46%).

Democrat: With 2,130 of 2,561 precincts reporting (83.17%), RALPH NORTHAM has been declared the winner.

HORSE RACE is the Republican Lieutenant Governor race between JILL VOGEL and BRYCE REEVES. With 2,191 of 2,561 precincts reporting (85.55%), JILL (42.23), BRYCE (40.98), GLENN DAVIS (16.79).

Democrat Lieutenant Governor: With 2,191 of 2,561 precincts reporting (85.55%), FAIRFAX (48.61), PLATT (39.51), ROSSI (11.88).

9:00 — REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR
With 2,191 of 2,561 precincts reporting (85.55%):
Ed Gillespie
131,103
43.47%

Corey A Stewart
130,222
43.18%

Frank Wagner
40,271
13.35%

9:04: Waiting for final precincts to report.

LYNCHBURG COMMONWEALTH’S ATTORNEY: Congrats to Bethany Harrison who won 2:1. She and her campaign manager Dexter Gains ran a positive campaign in the face of some questionable tactics used by her opponent.

9:10: DEMOCRATIC LT. GOVERNOR — JUSTIN FAIRFAX has been declared the winner (48.87%) followed by PLATT (39.25), ROSSI (11.88).

HORSE RACE IN REPUBLICAN GUBERNATORIAL between Ed Gillespie and Corey Stewart:
With 2,337 of 2,561 precincts reporting (91.25%):

Ed Gillespie
137,570
43.47%

Corey A Stewart
136,098
43.01%

Frank Wagner
42,796
13.52%

9:15 — HENRICO BROOKLAND DISTRICT SUPERVISOR:
Bob Witte
2,092
52.18%
Benjamin Dessart
1,582
39.46%
Gilbert Wilkerson
335
8.36%

9:20: Statement of House Republican leadership on results of Tuesday’s Republican House primaries

RICHMOND, VA – Virginia House of Delegates Speaker William J. Howell (R-Stafford), Speaker-designee Kirk Cox (R-Colonial Heights), Majority Leader-Designee C. Todd Gilbert (R-Shenandoah), Caucus Chairman Tim Hugo (R-Fairfax), and Majority Whip Jackson Miller (R-Manassas) released the following statement Tuesday congratulating Republican House candidates on their primary victories:
 
“We would like to congratulate Delegate Bobby Orrock, Delegate Ron Villanueva, Emily Brewer, Bob Thomas, Eddie Whitlock and John McGuire on their primary victories. We have a strong slate of House candidates across the Commonwealth prepared to run positive, solutions-oriented campaigns focused on what is best for their communities and our Commonwealth.

“Bobby and Ron are strong and effective legislators who will continue to make positive contributions to their communities and the Commonwealth. Their leadership in Richmond is an invaluable asset to their districts.
 
“Emily, Bob, Eddie and John are all community leaders who believe in the ideas and values that House Republicans have championed over the last 15 years – creating good jobs, responsibly balancing budgets and working hard to solve Virginia’s toughest challenges. They will spend the coming months talking with voters and sharing their visions for a stronger Commonwealth. I am confident that they will win in November and will be a welcome addition to the House Republican Caucus.
 
“Throughout the next five months, all Republican House candidates will have the opportunity to share our record of accomplishment and lay out a vision for the future of our state that focuses the issues that matter most to Virginia families: growing our economy, strengthening our education system, and protecting our communities. We’ve proven time and time again that no matter what happens in Washington, we will govern and lead the Commonwealth in a way that Virginians expect and deserve. We have no doubt that we will return in 2018 with a strong majority.”

9:23 – REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR:
With 2,374 of 2,561 precincts reporting (92.70%):

Ed Gillespie
143,757
43.38%

Corey A Stewart
142,268
42.93%

Frank Wagner
45,333
13.68%

9:30 – REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR:
2,405 of 2,561 precincts reporting (93.91%)

Ed Gillespie
146,521
43.42%

Corey A Stewart
144,933
42.95%

Frank Wagner
46,006
13.63%

9:36 – REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR:
2,429 of 2,561 precincts reporting (94.85%)

Ed Gillespie
149,108
43.53%

Corey A Stewart
146,793
42.86%

Frank Wagner
46,630
13.61%

9:55 — Waiting on last few precincts from Fairfax County which should break for Ed Gillespie.

10:00 — REPUBLICAN LT. GOVERNOR: Jill Vogel has been declared the winner. Congrats!
2,485 of 2,561 precincts reporting (97.03%)

Jill Vogel
146,668
42.51%

Bryce Reeves
139,084
40.31%

Glenn Davis
59,251
17.17%

10:15 — Still waiting on final Governor numbers.

2,525 of 2,561 precincts reporting (98.59%)

Ed Gillespie
157,428
43.69%

Corey A Stewart
153,435
42.58%

Frank Wagner
49,445
13.72%

10:25 — GILLESPIE WINS GOVERNOR!

There will be much analysis about tonight’s results over the next few days. Bearing Drift’s writers will have thoughts, and there may be a podcast tomorrow evening to rewind the election and take a look at the candidates and the returns.