Dave Brat Would Have A Pretty Hate Machine…

brat_pelosi…except that it does as much as Brat did as a freshman congressman in getting things done.

So it would appear as if the hobgoblins and little minds have come out to slam any opponent — mythical or otherwise — to Brat’s land and title in VA-07.  Henrico County Sheriff Mike Wade has been the most prominent target, sidestepping about 20 other potential candidates that have long been considered (or are considering) bids for same.

Libertarian Party boosters have presumably chosen not to run a candidate, as VA Right has been slamming Sheriff Wade fairly consistently over the last week or so.  Today’s edition?  Perhaps the worst damn video you’ve ever seen.  I have no idea what the lyrics are, other than “Brat good, Cantor bad” on repeat.

Obviously Brat has gone looking for advice.  By a stroke of luck, Bearing Drift was given a video recording of that advice… and we share it with you, dear reader:

So there’s that…

More accurately, for the thinking class?  Pull up a chair, grab a pint and some pipe tobacco.  Here’s the deal:

(1)  Redistricting ain’t done yet.  Let’s say we get to December 20th and 40% of VA-07 is brand spanking new… and the majority of it coming from VA-04.  Who do you think is running in that district?

randy-forbes-avatar-46(2)  Brat’s boosters know this, and want the conservative vote split.  It’s the only way they can win — have a candidate jump early, then watch as Rep. Randy Forbes tries to push that candidate out.  They know they have to split the ticket in order to win… which is why (a) you won’t see a candidate announce until (b) you see some sort of indication later this month as to where the courts intend to go on this.  If we get the NAACP lines?  Watch out…

(3)  …which is why they are trying to get someone — anyone — to announce early against Brat and before January.  Now naturally, this doesn’t preclude Sheriff Wade, about five state senators or delegates, a sitting representative, or about a dozen local businessmen from considering primary runs.

(4)  Sheriff Mike Wade clearly scares the hell out of Dave Brat.  Wade hasn’t made a move yet, and Brat’s machine has expended both money and manhours trying to cage the debate in the light of the one-trick-pony they think worked for them last time: attack the “disgusting Jew” Eric Cantor.  While “exterminate Cantor” (an actual sign held at the 2014 7th District Convention, folks) might be the playbook, that’s going to be far harder to do against a law and order candidate.  Moreover, if the candidate is Rep. Randy Forbes?  That’s not a dog Brat wants to kick… as Forbes can bring far more artillery and a stellar record to bear than Brat can — plus, Forbes is his own man.

(5)  Brat is weak.  Let’s be honest here: Brat has pissed off or booted just about everyone who helped get him where he is.  As a congressman, Brat has been a cataclysmic failure, passing no legislation of note while expending a great deal of energy burnishing his “national” street credentials — the very thing he claimed as the reason he ran against Cantor.  Just about everyone knows that Brat ran against Cantor because he was snubbed for the nod in HOD-56 after then Del. Bill Janis left to run elsewhere, as Brat played ball in “crony politics” until it got tired of waiting his turn (Del. Peter Farrell eventually got the nod, being the favorite son from the largest locality).  Folks are now learning about Brat’s role in drafting the disastrous and unconstitutional HB 3202 — which would have been the largest tax increase in Virginia history had Delegate Bob Marshall not successfully sued and stopped it cold.  On Brat’s marquee issue — immigration — Brat has accomplished nothing more than op-eds.  On taxation, debt, the national deficit, military spending, the war on terrorism, small business development, large business development, transportation, education and many other issues dear to Republicans, Brat has been able to throw the epithet RINO about while demonstrating himself for what he is: AWOL — absent without leadership.

So instead of running on accomplishments, he has a coterie of about 8 to 9 people with a two year history on social media destroy any opposition that might exist… or could exist… or might potentially exist — straight out of the Alinsky playbook they imagine the left uses to such great effect.

Brat is scared.  His team is scared.  His boosters are scared, because they know what others know: Brat has done nothing to advance the cause and plenty to advance himself, gathering about $250,000 in the bank to defend his seat, begging Freedom Works and others to turn the RPV Advance this weekend into a giant Brat rally, and doing everything possible to present the mirage of popular support.

Except it’s not there.

The bottom line is simple.  You can only vote with Nancy Pelosi so much before folks catch on that maybe — just maybe — Dave Brat isn’t the man he says he is.  You can only support a national sales tax so much before folks catch on that a 23% tax on everything you buy is a really bad idea.  You can only have a roving online hit squad target so many people before they start talking to one another and band together.

At some point, you go for the workhorse over the showhorse.  Brat is right to be concerned.

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