For the purpose of moving on to other things – and getting our winner their reward – even though the final outcome in the AG race has yet to be determined, I’m ready to announce the winner of our prediction contest [1].
The rules of the contest were to get closest to the actual result – and pick the winner. To calculate the error, I subtracted the current unofficial result from the predicted result and took the absolute value. I then summed the errors. The lowest number wins.
First, our baseline, the unofficial results from last night:
Mcauliffe: 48
Cuccinelli: 45
Sarvis: 7
Northam: 55
Jackson: 45
Obenshain: 50
Herring: 50
House of Delegates: D+1
JerseyRed predicted:
Mcauliffe: 48
Cuccinelli: 46 (-1)
Sarvis: 6 (-1)
Northam: 56 (-1)
Jackson: 44 (-1)
Obenshain: 50+
Herring: 50-
House of Delegates: D+3 (-2)
JerseyRed’ total error was 6.
Jeanine Martin:
Mcauliffe: 49 (-1)
Cuccinelli: 45
Sarvis: 6 (-1)
Northam: 55
Jackson: 45
Obenshain: 52 (-2)
Herring: 48 (-2)
House of Delegates: D+2 (-1)
Jeanine’s total error was 7.
EBase22:
Mcauliffe: 49 (-1)
Cuccinelli: 43 (-2)
Sarvis: 6 (-1)
Northam: 56 (-1)
Jackson: 44 (-1)
Obenshain: 50+
Herring: 50-
House of Delegates: D+3 (-2)
EBase22’s total error was 8.
Congratulations and thank you for taking the time to participate in the contest! Our winner receives their pick of anything from the Bearing Drift Store [2].