PPP: McAuliffe 46, Cuccinelli 41

One of the first polls of Virginia’s 2013 gubernatorial race is out, from PPP, and the headline number shows Democrat Terry McAuliffe holding a 46-41 lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli, with 13 percent undecided. The poll has a four point margin of error.

The wild card in the race is current Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling, who has made several rumblings that he is considering an independent run for the state’s top job. If Bolling is in the race, PPP finds it would create serious problems for Cuccinelli:

At this point, [Bolling] would get a solid 15% of the vote and, as one might expect, help McAuliffe to a wider 40-32 advantage over Cuccinelli. Bolling draws equally from the two among independents, taking 24% of their vote. He makes virtually no dent in McAuliffe’s intraparty support, but knocks Cuccinelli down 12 points among the GOP, with 19% of Republican votes.

So, at least according to PPP, Ken Cuccinelli has several problems on his hands — moderates don’t seem to like him and he has issues with independents. He also has work to do within the Republican ranks.

Are Cuccinelli’s troubles enough for Mr. Bolling to do more than toy with the idea of an independent bid? He wouldn’t win, at least not according to these very early numbers. But if one’s gauge for victory is denying Cuccinelli higher office, a few more sets of numbers like these would be incentive enough to run.

Right into political oblivion.

  • Dear Bearing Drift writers:

    It seems that Bill Bolling doesn’t give a damn about anything you write that mentions him and what he should do.

    • “if I can’t be the next governor, neither can you”
      more grade-school antics from grown men. does it ever end?

  • Anonymou

    Hmm… But could Bolling possibly peel off some Dems disillusioned with Terry McAuliffe. All Bolling really has to do is keep on pounding McAuliffe’s fundraising past (pimping the Lincoln bedroom) and his creating jobs in other states. It might be enough to turn-off Democrats and lead them to the Moderate (or perhaps better a “redesigned, reinvented Moderate”) choice as they wouldn’t be caught dead voting Ken. Bolling takes 25% of Independents in the PPP survey, and that would probably go up given that he could probably end up affording to compete on the air with the Dems and GOP.

  • Rick Boyer

    Unfortunately, Bill Bolling is all about Bill Bolling, He has absolutely no path to victory; his one payoff for staying in the spotlight (besides a few more minutes of media love before the eternal political ‘good night,’ would be the chance to tip the governorship to Terry McAuliffe.

    Considering that the eyes of the world will be on Virginia this year, and whether we will slow down the Obama machine, such a selfish move would be beneath comtempt. Will he go that low? It’s truly sad to see a man so completely destroy himself and any possible legacy. A charade, but a very sad one.

  • Nathan Miller

    I for one hope Bolling runs. With the current candidates, I will be staying home. I can’t in good conscious vote for Cooch, and of course won’t be voting for McAuliffe. I predict a landslide McAuliffe victory.

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