Despite the rumblings and contentions of Ron Paul’s supporters, the major party nominations look set and so we can turn our attention to the daily Gallup tracking poll [1]. And what does the first edition find? Nothing we didn’t already know:
[2]
Yes, yes: it’s a poll of registered, not likely, voters. And of course, it is only mid-April, and just about anything can happen between now and election day.
But the column to watch from here on out is that for “independents.” Right now, for reasons that escape me, Romney seems to be doing well.
Of additional interest is this chart on intensity:
[3]
These numbers will likely change, too. Still, it’s interesting to see that “Romney voters” have the slight intensity edge. For today.