Well now. This is, as they say, an interesting development.
In 2008, Survey USA predicted the final outcome almost to the percentage:
Their final poll [1] showed:
Obama 50 / McCain 46
Warner 59 / Gilmore 35
Final results [2]:
Obama 52 / McCain 46
Warner 65 / Gilmore 33
Today, they have McDonnell +19; Bolling +14; Cuccinelli +15. Deeds barely hit 40% and polled below Wagner and Shannon. Amongst the African American community, McDonnell is polling 31%.
It would appear, Sheila Johnson [3] and former Gov. Doug Wilder [4] may have a greater impact on this campaign than the Washington Post. Or, maybe it’s that we still don’t have a solid proposal from Deeds.
(h/t: Virginia Virtucon [5])