What came first, the polls or the coverage?

By Jeremy Hinton
October 22, 2008

Politico has an interesting article up in which it notes the findings of recent Pew study showing the media coverage of McCain over the last six weeks or so was mostly negative. Obama’s coverage on the other hand was slightly positive in total. They also analyze the coverage of the VP candidates, noting Biden’s coverage was almost as poor as McCain’s.

While they do tie much of the coverage of McCain to his own actions, the study makes an interesting connection between the results of the many opinion polls and the media coverage, noticing a corresponding relationship. The question is though, did the polls influence the coverage, or did the coverage influence the polls?

Palin opens SNL

By J.R. Hoeft
October 20, 2008

For those of you still under a rock…perhaps “30 Rock”…here’s the opening:

Howard Stern’s Sal goes to Harlem; Blacks totally ignorant of Obama policies

By J.R. Hoeft
October 16, 2008

Blacks are voting for Obama because of his positions on the issues, right? Yea, right.

After hearing this clip, you’ll know why majority-minority precincts vote Democrat 90-10. How sad.

 
icon for podpress  Sal from the Howard Stern Show in Harlem: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download (1713)

Courtesy of bpmdeejays.com

DailyKos and RedState, hand in hand

By Jeremy Hinton
October 11, 2008

A wide ranging collection of individuals has put together a petition to Senators McCain and Obama requesting a change to the format of the final debate. The group is calling itself the Open Debate Coalition. Their requests including allowing for more moderator discretion in followups and full footage release. Also, interestingly enough, is a request to come up with a better alternative to the current Commission on Presidential Debates to handle future debates. The membership is pretty diverse, as a couple of the individuals below demonstrate.

  • Lawrence Lessig; Professor, Stanford Law School, Founder, Center for Internet and Society
  • Eli Pariser; Executive Director, MoveOn.org Political Action
  • Mike Krempasky; Founder, RedState.com
  • Markos Moulitsas; Founder, DailyKos.com
  • Roger L. Simon, CEO, Pajamas Media
  • AP editorializing on Palin

    By J.R. Hoeft
    October 6, 2008

    Excerpts from an AP article on Sarah Palin:

    “Palin, recharged after last week’s debate, is animating the party’s conservative wing with harsh attacks against Obama.”

    “She’s still the carefully handled national politics greenhorn.”

    “She brushes off some of her criticism as if it were lint on her jacket.”

    So much for reporting facts and not opinion.

    Larry Sabato analyzes last night’s Biden-Palin debate

    By J.R. Hoeft
    October 3, 2008

    I was contemplating titling this post “Why you don’t need a Ph.D. in order to be a pundit”, but I’ll just let the excerpts below do the commentary for me.

    Here’s Dr. Larry Sabato’s post-debate analysis from CNN:

    Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, also said [Palin] helped herself Thursday night.

    “Expectations were very low for Palin, and she exceeded them,” Sabato said. “She didn’t win, but she didn’t lose. People tuned in to see a car crash, and there wasn’t one — on either side.”
    ….
    “This debate will be forgotten by next week,” Sabato said. “As usual, the VP candidates won’t matter much in the final result. The status quo (that favors Obama since he’s ahead) has been preserved.”

    Here’s my analysis from BEFORE the debate:

    There is only one reason we’re all watching tonight, right? It’s for the train wreck.

    We’re either hopeful Joe Biden pulls a “Joe Biden” that even Joe Biden would be proud of. In other words — we’re looking for the gaffe of the century.

    Or, we’re wondering whether Sarah Palin’s mastery of Stare Decisis equates to other policy measures.

    Or, we’re contemplating if Gwen Ifill, in the middle of the debate, responds to a Biden rebuttal with an emphatic “Yes we can!”

    Somehow, despite my fingers being crossed, I suspect we will see none of the above.

    Ergo, tonight won’t matter. As it hasn’t for any vice presidential debate in more than forty years.

    Live Blogging at Shad Plank tonight

    By J.R. Hoeft
    October 2, 2008

    I’ll be over at Shad Plank tonight participating in a live blog using “Cover-It Live” during the VP debate. So, between there and here, there should be some interesting thoughts about this absolutely meaningless meeting of the minds in Missouri.

    Open Thread: Media Bias?

    By Jason Kenney
    September 30, 2008

    Glenn Reynolds posts an e-mail he received from inside a media newsroom:

    Off the record, every suspicion you have about MSM being in the tank for O is true. We have a team of 4 people going thru dumpsters in Alaska and 4 in arizona. Not a single one looking into Acorn, Ayers or Freddiemae. Editor refuses to publish anything that would jeopardize election for O, and betting you dollars to donuts same is true at NYT, others. People cheer when CNN or NBC run another Palin-mocking but raising any reasonable inquiry into obama is derided or flat out ignored. The fix is in, and its working.

    Feel free to share your thoughts and examples in the comments.

    Is there a bias in the media this election cycle?

    View Results

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    ABC News Is Stifling Conservative User Comments

    By Brian The Squeaky Wheel
    September 28, 2008

    Darke Blog (one of my favorite Ohio Blogs) has a very interesting post in which he demonstrates how ABC is deleting conservative comments.

    After I posted this comment, I noticed another commenter included the same link as me. I went back to look at the reactions to both comments - and one at a time - they were both pulled from the comments. My original comment was time-stamped 7:42:49 PM - and as you can see below there is no remaining comment for that time. It was removed.

    You MUST read this post.

    Poll: Who Won Last Night’s Debate?

    By Jason Kenney
    September 27, 2008

    A quick look around the web at poll results for who won last night’s Presidential Debate:

    Chicago Tribune
    John McCain: 17.1% (4,193)
    Barack Obama: 82.9% (20,266)

    Drudge Report
    John McCain: 68% (209,141)
    Barack Obama: 30% (92,124)

    Michigan
    John McCain: 27% (11217)
    Barack Obama: 72% (30326)

    MSNBC
    John McCain: 15.5% (14,494)
    Barack Obama: 79.6% (74,532)

    Rocky Mountain News
    John McCain: 10% (917)
    Barack Obama: 88% (7,779)

    Total Results From The Five:
    John McCain: 51.6% (239,962)
    Barack Obama: 48.4% (225,027)

    All results as of 11:45am EST

    Who Won The First Presidential Debate?

    View Results

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    UPDATE: I’m sorry I didn’t include the poll from the classy folks over at DailyKos:

    Even with their numbers included John McCain still wins the aggregate.

    Wall Street Journal’s numbers:
    John McCain: 40.3% (28,757)
    Barack Obama: 55.8% (39,839)

    And there are plenty more out there.  Ultimately, we’re seeing a pretty even split (though one can argue the numbers are falsely skewed toward Obama due to Netroots vs. Rightroots organization) but most polls online and off are saying the debate was a draw.

    That doesn’t bode well for John McCain.  Foreign policy is supposed to be his strong suit and he was supposed to come out on top.  But if public preception is that Obama held his own, then that’s a win for Barack Obama.

    UPDATE 2: Mark Ambinder at The Atlantic notes that no polls are giving McCain the edge after the debate except one in Washington State and Drudge’s poll.

    AP inaccurately characterizes public perception with headline: Republicans and McCain doing good work for conservatives on bailout plan

    By J.R. Hoeft
    September 26, 2008

    Well, at least they inaccurately characterize the conservative perception.

    The headline of Charles Babbington’s report on the state of negotiations of the bailout plan reads:

    A bad day for the GOP on politics, bailout plan

    How so?

    He tries, in the article, to explain that it’s House Republicans, and, to a certain extent, John McCain who are standing in the way of a final agreement.

    House Republicans have proposed an alternative.

    Instead of the government buying the distressed securities, the new plan would have banks, financial firms and other investors that hold such loans pay the Treasury to insure them. Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wisc., a chief sponsor, said it was clear that Bush’s plan “was not going to pass the House.”

    But Democrats said the same was true of the conservatives’ plan. It calls for tax cuts and insurance provisions the majority party will not accept, they said.

    According to one observer, McCain, during negotiations at the White House yesterday said: ‘I support the principles that House Republicans are fighting for.’

    So, explain to me how this is “bad” for McCain and the GOP?

    That they are fighting for a smart solution to the issue? That they are not looking to government to handout billions upon billions of dollars to irresponsible lenders? That they are not trying to pump a huge giveaway into a broken system that Democrats caused in the first place?

    This is not “bad” for Republicans. In fact, Republicans are finally doing what we conservatives have been waiting for: fighting for us.

    They have stood up for American interests since this summer and now the party is revitalized.

    They challenged Pelosi on energy, and now we will finally have offshore drilling.

    They unequivocally stated that our national defense is our first priority, and we have a national defense authorization.

    And now they are proposing an alternative financial plan, grounded in solid, foundational economic principles in order to protect taxpayers and revitalize the economy.

    That’s not “bad”. In fact, it’s very, very good.

    American Carol

    By DCH
    September 24, 2008

    Opening October 3rd. Go see it. It looks hilarious.

    Surveying the Nation Between 3-6pm EST On A Weekday

    By Jason Kenney
    September 24, 2008

    People who are at home between 3-5pm EST don’t agree with John McCain’s decision to suspend his campaign says a SurveyUSA poll.  No word yet on the opinion of people who work for a living.  And even if they don’t agree with McCain pushing back the debate, only 21% think the debate happening will be bad for McCain compared to 26% who feel it’d be bad for Obama.

    Perriello Beats Goode In Poll

    By Jason Kenney
    September 20, 2008

    Martinsville Bulletin had a poll the other day asking who one would vote for in the 5th Congressional District race this November.

    It’d be interesting to know how many people who voted in the poll actually live in the 5th District.

    Slamming Palin at WHRO’s “What Matters” with Cathy Lewis

    By Brian Kirwin
    September 19, 2008


    Some of the best parts of TV shows aren’t on camera (like Charlie Gibson’s edited interview of Sarah Palin). Roundtable time on WHRO Channel 15 tonight at 8:30 pm including me, Dem blogger Vivian Paige, Kimball Payne of the Daily Press and Don Luzzato, slightly older than 14, from the Virginian-Pilot.

    But the best part was in the last minute when host Cathy Lewis took Sarah Palin to task (pile on) and hoped her first interview with the press won’t be her last. Cathy looked at me and commented she’d hear something from me about that.

    Camera’s off, and I said “I just wanted you to know that Sarah’s already booked an interview with Katie Couric on the Today show. Wanna do that again?”

    Believe me, lots more fun stuff when the cameras were on. Tune in.

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