Jawororski and Fermoselle: Immigration Reform No Path To Hispanic GOP Voting Bloc

cheerful-hispanic-family

As a born and bred New Yorker who witnessed firsthand the disastrous results of Great Society social engineering in lower Manhattan, I have long criticized Democrats for failing to see the damage done to their constituents by the welfare state.  As a result, I have always thought we Republicans have a firmer grasp on demographic reality.  But if we think that by merely placing Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz at the top of our 2016 ticket we are going to win large numbers of Hispanic voters, then we are likely to be disappointed.

First, we need to avoid talk of amnesty.  It will not work.  After Ronald Reagan granted amnesty to several million illegal immigrants in 1986 – the GOP did not receive even the slightest uptick in support from Hispanic voters in 1988 and beyond.

Second, a large portion of Hispanic immigrants come from countries in which big government reigns supreme and promises much (e.g., Mexico).  I have repeatedly pointed to the results of Hispanic Pew polling, which demonstrates conclusively that first, second, and third generations of Hispanic Americans want big government, and thus are not likely to find our GOP message appealing.   Furthermore, a large portion of Hispanic immigrant households contain at least one person (usually one child or more) receiving welfare, food stamps, Medicaid, or some other benefit.  And while 94% of these households have at least one worker, the hard working residents of these homes are not likely to embrace us limited government types if it means a relative – particularly a child – is going to lose a benefit.

In writing this article, I worked closely with my friend and colleague, Dr. Ralph Fermoselle, who is a Cuban immigrant.  Dr. Fermoselle is a retired U.S. Foreign-Service officer who served our country in Latin American and Europe for 20 years.  He is an expert in counter-terrorism and has authored 17 books.  Recently, he worked as an online interpreter for a company filling the niche between Spanish-speaking immigrants and county-level social service agencies in Mid-America that cannot afford full time translators.  He was flabbergasted at the sheer number of migrant working families whose dysfunctional behavior (e.g., women with children born from multiple fathers) is being subsidized by taxpayers via a complex and tangled array of local, state, and federal agencies supplying “services” and enabling more of this dependency.  The huge number of American-born children from such families presents huge challenges because even when these children have loving and dedicated parents, they simply do not have the means to help their children make it in American society.

Dr. Fermoselle informed me that a large number of Hispanic immigrants are actually native Americans (Indians from Mexico and Central America) who speak Spanish as a second language, and are not literate in either Spanish or English.  And in Latin America there is no such thing as a unifying “Hispanic” identity.  People classify themselves as white, Indian, black, or of mixed ancestry (“of color” or “Mestizo”).  So, given these circumstances, can somehow tell me what current GOP talking point is going to be effective in winning these future voters over?  If the GOP leadership thinks that significant numbers of working class mixed-race or indigenous people from Mexico or Central America are going to vote for white Cuban-Americans such as Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz, then they might as well tilt lances at windmills.

However, we have a few bold and out-of-the-box suggestions which may actually win large numbers of Hispanic voters to our side.  We will discuss these in a later article.


Mark Jawororski is a veteran of the U.S. Army, is a member of the John Adams Tea Party, and lives in Stafford County, Virginia. Dr. Ralph Fermoselle is a Cuban exile, a retired senior diplomat with the U.S. Foreign Service, and an author of 17 books.  

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