So, who’s running this party anyway?Politics

Yesterday’s “Burgers with Bill,” held in the normally sleepy days following the end of primaries, the end of school, and pre-Independence day, has gotten folks to thinking.

Why? Because the GOP is in complete transition. And it’s time to just openly accept it.

In an earlier post, Brian Kirwin takes on the very interesting scenario of Bill Bolling staying in the race and challenging Ken Cuccinelli to a convention grudge match.

While I disagree with his thoughts that Bolling could have won the race, I do agree that the outcomes of the down-ticket races could have been very different. Particularly with the nomination for lieutenant governor.

That said, as I mentioned in my morning email, Virginia is a very different place for conservatives than it once was even a week ago, let alone a year.

In November of 2012, George Allen lost his chance to return to the US Senate – along with GOP presidential aspirant Mitt Romney, who failed to carry Virginia for a Republican for the second straight presidential election cycle (following a string of victories since 1964). Last June, Cuccinelli was riding high as the gubernatorial nominee and Bolling was sulking, making comments to the press about how the GOP wasn’t mainstream. Then, Bob McDonnell became embroiled in his current controversy. And, Republicans went on to lose all three state offices, which meant a loss of the state Senate when both Lt. Gov. Northam and Atty. Gen. Herring were also replaced by Democrats in the legislature. Then, Rep. Eric Cantor lost his primary to Dave Brat just last week.

So, when many of the former leaders gathered last night for “Burgers with Bill,” which used to be a much sought after fundraising ticket, but is now an event that is paid for by Bolling’s PAC, it seemed a bit like a nod to the past and a reflection on the current state of the party.

McDonnell summed up his sense of things to the Washington Post:

“It shows that we’re not a monolithic group, that we have a broad coalition of conservatives, of libertarians, of moderates that all believe in the basic message of fiscal responsibility and limited government, and sometimes people from different parts of that coalition make a stronger case during an election cycle,” he said.

While that might be true, there is certainly a leadership vacuum – even with the news that the Senate is likely to return to a GOP majority.

Gone are the days of leaders who would captivate Republican attention: John Warner, George Allen, Jim Gilmore, Mark Earley, John Hager, Bob McDonnell, Bill Bolling, Ken Cuccinelli and Eric Cantor. And, certainly, some might be saying “good riddance” to several of them. But that leaves a very interesting question – who is going to step up and grasp the mantle of leadership? Randy Forbes? Rob Wittman? Morgan Griffith? Dave Brat? Bill Howell? Tommy Norment? Pete Snyder? Scott Lingamfelter? Tom Davis?

For some, it might be a once in a lifetime chance. And, it will be interesting to see who takes that chance (or who resurrects themselves). But what “Burgers with Bill” did is remind GOP loyalists of what the Republican Party once was and how different it is going forward. Change can be refreshing – but only if the changes mean the conservative movement can coalesce and advance principles that promote the freedom and economic well-being we enjoyed under past leaders…many who enjoyed a grilled burger yesterday.

Of course, who also attended last evening’s festivities? Ed Gillespie – the GOP US Senate candidate – who would gladly fill the void. And, gladly accepted the endorsements of those who attended.

Gillespie is the obvious choice and should be the one the party faithful rally around through the summer and into the general election. But, already, with the hiring of Ray Allen onto the campaign team, with Creative Direct being used to do some periodic campaign work (not in a strategic role) those who felt disenfranchised – or, at least, discounted – by the “slating” maneuver inflicted during party district chairman contests, are already questioning whether Gillespie will truly represent them and their interests.

Gillespie needs to reassure them.

Another potential leader: Sen. Mark Obenshain.

Obenshain came within a hairs-breadth of being attorney general and, arguably of the three who ran statewide in 2013, the one with the strongest campaign and broadest appeal.

Obenshain must be considered a favorite for governor in 2017, but where is he now?

As I mentioned to one very astute reader, while Obenshain is certainly in the mix to lead the party into the future, his leadership has been very quiet during the session. While the man who defeated him, Attorney General Mark Herring, has been taking steps to undermine Virginia law, and conservatives have been debating how to prevent the expansion of ObamaCare into Virginia, a law that was challenged by then-Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, we’ve heard precious little from the senator from Harrisonburg.

Of course, there is also Obenshain’s former AG rival Rob Bell, who should also be on a very short list for the party to rally around. He has been ever present since the campaign and helped author the amendment currently under threat of line-item veto from Governor McAuliffe on Medicaid expansion.

While Obenshain and Bell…or perhaps Gillespie, once he’s elected…seem locgial choices as elected party leadership, Virginia still has a Republican leader in Chairman Pat Mullins.

Mullins has been walking the tight-rope ever since inheriting the position from Jeff Fredericks. Ever mindful of his right flank and those who claimed Fredericks was dissed by the establishment (never mind his mismanagement of the party and gross negligence), Mullins has done the best anyone could reasonably expect of someone trying to placate and hold together a party torn asunder by competing conservative interests.

Mullins doesn’t nearly get the credit he deserves – mainly because the GOP keeps losing under his watch.

However, one can’t believe that what happened in 2011 with the state Senate, 2012 with Romney/Allen v Obama/Kaine, and 2013 can all be laid at the feet of the party chairman…especially given the back-biting and infighting that’s been going on.

With the hiring of Pat McSweeney as legal counsel and Shaun Kenney as Executive Director, the prospects of RPV reaching out towards the Tea Party and more conservative elements seemed possible.

Since Kenney’s hire, both Bolling and Cuccinelli have donated to “the cause.”

The collective $40k in donations from the rivals could demonstrate a potential narrowing of the divide between the moderate and conservative factions of the party.

But does it? That probably will be reflected by the pocketbooks of others and whether they trust Mullins to lead them to victory.

It’s summer. We should be kicked back and relaxing. Or, at least getting ready to challenge for the federal elections. Instead, it seems the party is rudderless and without a captain.

Are GOP faithful ready to follow Gillespie, Mullins, Obenshain and Bell to victory? Are Gillespie, Mullins, Obenshain, and Bell capable of uniting the party?

The answers to these questions are probably up to you.

  • Bill Steinbach

    Not only the slating, but this, from Mr. Leahy’s article after the primary:

    “1.This marks the official end of Marcus & Allen, and the campaign style they used to great effect for so long. It no longer works.”

  • http://www.varight.com Steven Brodie Tucker

    This was one beautifully written article. With regard to party leadership, I think only Wittman and Obenshain have the ability to work with both sides of the Republican Party. Wittman has been consumed with the 1st District, and why not? Eric Cantor ran the show for the Republican Representatives. Eric Cantor decided what committees these gentlemen would receive. With Cantor gone, I think a Rob Wittman could stand up for the Republicans in Virginia, if and only if he would be willing to take a few steps back from the leadership in Washington DC.

    And that’s the rub. Men like Rob Wittman, if they really want to serve Virginia, will eventually (if he hasn’t already) fall under the impression that power within the Republican Leadership in The House of Representatives is the best way to “bring home the bacon” to Virginia. But the conservatives, constitutionalists, TEA Party, and libertarians don’t want bacon. They want responsible, constitutional, limited government, state sovereignty, individual liberty, and a furtherance of a culture of self-reliance.

    Eric Cantor’s “What Can I Do For You” message that he operated under was toxic politics, and it eventually led to his downfall. It’s not that Eric Cantor was an evil guy, or a bad guy. It’s that Eric Cantor believed that establishing power, instead of principle, was the key to leading Virginia in The House.

    We need men who will lead on principle. Mark Obenshain would be perfect for that job. So would Ken Cuccinelli. Gillespie though? Not a chance. Constitutionalists and Libertarians will walk away from Gillespie the moment he wins, which I think is doubtful. Warner has a strong coalition. Gillespie only has the Eric Cantor crowd behind him. Judging by Cantor’s recent humiliation, I do not think this bodes well for Ed. Gillespie helped run Romney’s campaign into the ground against one of the most inept and incompetent first term presidents we’ve ever seen. That is a remarkably embarrassing feat. Virginia won’t get behind that kind of “leadership”.

    • Turbocohen

      Steven, I am viciously anti Cantor and I am equally enthusiastically a Gillespie supporter.. Not pressuring you to edit your comment above but Gillespie has a broad coalition from all over the R spectrum..

      https://www.facebook.com/pages/Grassroots-for-Ed-Gillespie/1425509444348108?ref_type=bookmark

      • http://www.varight.com Steven Brodie Tucker

        Why? He is a K Street Republican. What’s the difference between Gillespie and Warner? Why elect someone we’ll all end up opposing six years from now? This is about republicans wanting to win at any cost. I haven’t forgotten what the Republican controlled House and Republican Controlled Senate did to this country. It was a disaster. And if we send men like Gillespie to the Senate, it’ll be a disaster again.

        • WorriedinVA

          so…what are you proposing? we vote for Warner? or we vote for Sarvis (the “libertarian” put in place by the Obama team)? There is a better choice in every election. sitting out is a vote for the opposition.
          Therefore, vote for Gillespie.

          • http://www.varight.com Steven Brodie Tucker

            I’ll either vote for Sarvis or write in Shak Hill. I’ll never vote for Gillespie. There are enough of us who won’t vote for Gillespie to cost him the election. The next time the Republicans in Virginia nominate a candidate, maybe they won’t nominate a corporatist.

          • WorriedinVA

            Gillespie is the best chance this state has to remove Warner. Those are the facts…The goal for EVERY AMERICAN and EVERY VIRGINIAN should be to remove Harry Reid from the majority leader in the senate. He has effectively shut down our legislative branch. This isn’t the time to stomp your feet and stay home on election day…this is the time to rally together the most conservative among us and VOTE. We’re losing our country. Lots of former-Cantor supporters I know are excited about Brat and have sent money to his campaign and are voting for him. They understand what is at stake, as should you. You protesting isn’t noticed by anyone, but it is celebrated by the progressives.

          • http://www.varight.com Steven Brodie Tucker

            I don’t share your enthusiasm regarding giving McConnell the Senate. A switch from Socialism to Corporatism isn’t a win for America. Both sides are dangerous. That’s why we’ve got to make the Gillespie types a powerless minority in the Party, not empower them. This is serious stuff. It isn’t a time for cheerleading for “our team”. It’s time to get the bad guys out, not merely switch bad guys.

          • WorriedinVA

            WE’re running out of time…the debt has doubled, so many people getting government hand-outs that we’re outnumbered, the most dishonest corrupt administration in our nation’s history. little by little, step by step…we have to move in the RIGHT direction. The progressives have been working at this for 100 years. getting us back in the right direction will take more than an election cycle or two. I share your skepticism for McConnell…not my first choice, but I do think he’s wary of his positions based on what has happened with Cantor. There is ALWAYS a BETTER choice…don’t sit home. Consider voting for the more conservative candidate. I’ve held my nose plenty of times. don’t keep operating from the progressive playbook. They love you.

          • http://www.varight.com Steven Brodie Tucker

            Gillespie isn’t more conservative, he’s just less a Marxist. He’s a big government lobbyist.

          • WorriedinVA

            there’s always a better choice and NOT voting with Reid is a start.

          • Turbocohen

            Sooo.. I guess Rand Paul is too?

          • http://www.varight.com Steven Brodie Tucker

            What does Rand Paul and Ed Gillespie have in common? (Besides both supporting McConnell)

          • WorriedinVA

            by the way, Sarvis is funded by the Obama people. They are planting “libertarians” in many races across the country to siphon off votes. Don’t be a fool. Look at Sarvis’ positions – he’s much, much, much worse that you think.

          • http://www.varight.com Steven Brodie Tucker

            No one who votes for Sarvis would have voted for Gillespie.

          • Edmund Randolph

            Thus is illustrated the reason that we have liberals in both US Senate seats and as Governor, AG, and LG. All state wide offices because people like Mr. Tucker would rather have a liberal than a Republican they don’t agree with 100%.

  • Turbocohen

    JR knocks it out of the park here. Who do we trust? That starts with first impressions. Is the candidate confident, polite, do they make eye contact and smile, shake hands firmly or hug as appropriate, are they neatly dressed, do they speak clearly and illustrate their knowledge, are they “positive”, do they praise their staff and share ideas with supporters.. and do they know when to shut up? When they meet potential supporters, do they talk about themselves or you the potential supporter, are they really paying attention to their constituent, are they easy to like, Do they say please, excuse me, thank you at the right time? Do they boast about being right? DO THEY ADMIT WHEN THEY HAVE BEEN WRONG? Are they open minded? Are they consistent? The names you mention at the end of your post seem to live up to this..

    • http://bearingdrift.com/ J.R. Hoeft

      Thanks, Turbo!