VaPilot: Bolling Confident About Getting 25% of the Vote

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For anyone even remotely harboring doubts as to whether Bolling intends to run for governor:

“Is there a realistic chance of putting together the support we would need to not just be competitive?” Bolling said. “I’m confident I could get 20-25 percent of the vote. But you’ve got to have 35 percent to win” a three-way race.

“The difference between 25 percent and 35 percent is your ability to raise $10 or $15 million,” added Bolling, who is prohibited by state law from raising campaign cash during the General Assembly session.

Read it all.

One of the interesting things to come out of the polling data was that Bolling almost exclusively took from Cuccinelli — and barely made a dent into McAuliffe’s numbers. That’s not a good sign for Bolling as even within Democratic circles, T-Mac is considered to be more of a centrist.

Bolling will need (1) a very radicalized T-Mac, (2) Cuccinelli to make several mistakes, and (3) a veritable revolution within the GOP — perhaps over the transportation bill? — that would peel off the moderate GOP wing and give Bolling a chance to see daylight.

Bolling would have to see several changes in the political environment and a veritable rejection of both major parties by the electorate… not a small task and one well beyond Bolling ability to influence.  At this rate, while the numbers look a bit more encouraging for Bolling than previously though, it’s doesn’t appear to be a starting block — more of a ceiling.

Bolling did add that he would not play the role of spoiler, as it was not his style.

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