Quinnipiac University’s polling unit has been in the field and their numbers on the Virginia gubernatorial race show the contest between Republican Ken Cuccinelli and Democrat Terry McAuliffe statistically tied among registered voters. The margin of error is 2.9 percent. Numbers from PPP released on Tuesday showed McAuliffe with a five point lead.
When Quinnipiac adds Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling to the candidate mix, the numbers stack up like this:
If Republican Bolling were to run as an independent, McAuliffe and Cuccinelli would get 34 percent each and Bolling would garner 13 percent. The three-way choice was not offered in November.
It may come as a surprise to political junkies, but most Virginians have no idea who the candidates are in this race:
None of the three candidates is well-known to Virginia registered voters. Cuccinelli is the best known of the lot with 33 percent holding a favorable opinion, to 25 percent unfavorable and 41 percent who don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. For Bolling, who has held statewide office for seven years, 72 percent don’t know enough to form an opinion. For McAuliffe, who ran for governor four years ago, 61 percent haven’t formed an opinion.
As the Quinnipiac pollsters remind us, “voter memories are short.”
One other nugget from the poll that’s worth noting is that, unlike their congressional brethren across the Potomac, the General Assembly “…gets a positive job rating from Virginia voters, 43 – 39 percent.”
Memories are short, indeed.