PPP: Santorum 38%, Romney 23%
By | Saturday, February 11th, 2012 | Politics

A "severe" case of rhinitis...

Romney’s star has finally faded. After two months of claiming the “base” has been locked up, the twin disasters of multiple poor showings in state primary contests plus a train wreck of a speech at CPAC is pushing voters in droves to former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum:

Part of the reason for Santorum’s surge is his own high level of popularity. 64% of voters see him favorably to only 22% with a negative one. But the other, and maybe more important, reason is that Republicans are significantly souring on both Romney and Gingrich. Romney’s favorability is barely above water at 44/43, representing a 23 point net decline from our December national poll when he was +24 (55/31). Gingrich has fallen even further. A 44% plurality of GOP voters now hold a negative opinion of him to only 42% with a positive one. That’s a 34 point drop from 2 months ago when he was at +32 (60/28).

The GOP base is rallying against “severe conservatism” — though whether or not Santorum’s vision of conservatism will remain something Republicans can rally around remains to be seen.

One clear advantage for Santorum right now?  Obama’s Chavez-style war against the Catholic Church is pushing Catholics both in opposition to Obama and towards a candidate whose unflagging loyalty to Catholic principles is what Santorum built his reputation upon.

Fear the Vest?


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About the author

Shaun Kenney

Shaun Kenney is the Chairman of the Fluvanna County Board of Supervisors, former Communications Director for the Republican Party of Virginia, and an active blogger since 2002. Shaun lives in Thomas Jefferson's backyard with his wife, six children, and a modest attempt at a farm in Kents Store, Virginia.

Comments

13 Responses to "PPP: Santorum 38%, Romney 23%"
  1. JR Hoeft February 11, 2012 15:44 pm

    You seem to be a little bit too gleeful, Shaun (not to mention immature).

    We’ll see what the CPAC poll says here in a few minutes.

    Then the Maine Caucus tonight.

    Then Michigan and Arizona later this month.

    I have a hunch Gov. Romney will be just fine. Santorum has his own issues on his right flank.

    Santorum is good on abortion and is a proud Catholic. But how is he on the national debt? Federal Spending? Earmarks?

    This nomination is still about the economy, jobs, and energy. We forget that, we might as well give Obama four more years.

  2. JR Hoeft February 11, 2012 16:37 pm

    The “RINO” just won the CPAC straw poll 38-31 over Santorum.

    Supposedly those that attended CPAC are conservatives. Just a theory.

  3. wow February 11, 2012 16:40 pm

    It’s amazing that a dude as cheesy and “out there” (that’s being kind) like Rick is getting so much support. Plus, his big spending Bush record sucks. Someone give me a call when the GOP moves away from the crazies and back to the thoughtful and well-reasoned candidates we had in the 80s and 90s.

    Although Romney has little chance of beating Obama, Santorum has absolutely none.

  4. Jumping Jack February 11, 2012 17:11 pm

    CPAC was a joke this year. Maybe it will continue the tradition of not accurately predicting the Presidential nominee.

  5. Breaking – Conservative movement betrayed at CPAC, RINO wins straw poll – Bearing Drift: Virginia's Conservative Voice February 11, 2012 17:12 pm

    [...] Ronald Reagan, and Mitt Romney, who has succeeded in stealing three past CPAC straw poll wins.  Pundits across America agree that the voting must have been rigged, especially after Romney’s pathetic speech at the [...]

  6. Jumping Jack February 11, 2012 17:15 pm

    Plus, Santorum voted to fund Planned Parenthood while in the senate and yet is praised as our social conservative savior. What a joke. Even if he “indirectly” voted to fund them. That should ruin any bill for someone who is “pro-life.”

    http://thenewamerican.com/usnews/politics/10549-santorum-voted-to-subsidize-abortion-planned-parenthood

  7. Shaun Kenney February 11, 2012 17:58 pm

    You seem to be a little bit too gleeful, Shaun (not to mention immature).

    Wooo-hooo-oooo!

    Sorry the truth via polling data hurts…

  8. JR Hoeft February 11, 2012 18:11 pm

    Yep. Like the ones Romney keeps winning.

  9. JR Hoeft February 11, 2012 18:26 pm

    Speaking of which, in the Maine “preference” poll (national delegates are selected in convention in May), Mitt Romney wins 39-36 percent over Ron Paul. Rick Santorum comes in a distant third at 18 percent and Gingrich at 6 percent.

  10. James "turbo" Cohen February 11, 2012 18:31 pm

    Romney 39%
    Paul 36%
    Santorum 18%
    Gingrich 6%

  11. Shaun Kenney February 11, 2012 18:43 pm

    So 61% votes against Romney, and “the base is locked up”.

    Dizzy with spin, fellas…

  12. Steve Vaughan February 13, 2012 11:47 am

    Shaun: “So 61% votes against Romney, and “the base is locked up”.

    Yep. That is the point a lot the folks who have swarmed to Romney as the only candidate who can win are missing.

    I know they think the presence of Obama on the ballot will bring the base back to the fold. I’m thinking apathy — actually it’s worse than apathy, it’s open antagonism– toward Romney might lead them to vote third-party (Hello, Ron Paul.) or stay at home.

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