Virginia is for Newt, George and Ken
By Norman Leahy | Tuesday, December 13th, 2011 | Politics, VirginiaThe latest PPP poll for Virginia shows that the Old Dominion is for Newt Gingrich:
He’s at 41% there to 15% for Mitt Romney with no one else in double digits. Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry at 8%, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul at 6%, Jon Huntsman at 3%, and Gary Johnson at 1% round out the field.
It also has a hankerin’ for George Allen:
There continues to be very little appetite for a Tea Party challenge to George Allen in the Republican Senate race. 65% of primary voters think he’s ideologically about ‘right’ and only 25% express support for a generic ‘more conservative’ alternative to him, compared to 53% think who he should be the party nominee. Against his actual opponents Allen gets 67% to 5% for Jamie Radtke, 3% for E.W. Jackson, and 2% each for Tim Donner and David McCormick. This is one GOP contest where there’s just not a lot of desire for a challenger from the right.
Those numbers are going to sting.
Much further out on the election curve, PPP posits that Ken Cuccinelli is the one:
Finally we took a very early look at the 2013 GOP primary for Governor and again find Ken Cuccinelli with a big early lead over Bill Bolling, 44-25. Both men are popular among Republican voters familiar with them but Cuccinelli is far better known with 73% of voters having an opinion about him to only 48% with one about Bolling. Cuccinelli is riding a huge advantage with Tea Party voters who favor him by 40 points, 58-18. Bolling leads by 25 points with moderates at 47-22, but there just aren’t that many of them.
These numbers, while loads of fun at parties, are no indication whatsoever of how that race will shake-out, in part because the sample size was small, and the margin of error quite large:
PPP surveyed 350 Republican primary voters from December 11th to 13th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-5.2%.
Considering today is the 13th, someone cobbled the data together in an awful hurry.
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About the author
Norm Leahy has written about Virginia and national politics online since 2002, beginning with One Man's Trash (OMT), and continuing through Bacon's Rebellion (both the blog and the e-zine), Sic Semper Tyrannis, NBC12's Decision Virginia, Richmond.com and Tertium Quids. He is the chief blogger at "The Score" and a producer of "The Score" radio show as well as being a Washington Examiner contributor.
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Comments
4 Responses to "Virginia is for Newt, George and Ken"
Ok, so Cuccinelli has spent more time in front of TV cameras than Bolling, but that doesn’t change the fact that Bolling is more qualified and more likely to continue McDonnell’s results-oriented conservative leadership. Bolling is the most prepared candidate to defeat McAuliffe/Perriello.
This poll is just on name id. Bolling’s id continues to rise, don’t forget. And with that rise will come recognition of his better credentials for governor.
The shame of this cycle is the blindness towards Huntsman and Johnson. It never ceases to amaze me that small government conservatives turn blind eyes to their own. I know there are some who perceive of Huntsman as “liberal” for his service in the Obama Administration. But his record in Utah and his economic plan that was praised by the WSJ are good things for small government conservatives.
For more libertarian leaning conservatives, Gary Johnson has a very good record as Governor. He would be much more electable than Ron Paul. He’s a great interview, a great story and a good debater.
For some reason, these 2 have been ignored, and now it seems as if Gingrich and Romney are going to duke it out.
Gotta love you some Cooch!
Lindsey, Bolling backing down from a Primary fight that he would have lost (McDonnell would have won a primary against Bolling), does not inherantly make him qualified to be Governor. Furthermore, how is Bolling the most prepared candidate? Because he has organization in every county / city in Virginia…wait that is Cuccinelli. Bolling has been filling a basically ceremonial post (the senate was not tied for the last 8 years), while Cuccinelli has been proactive against Federal Government overreach. Bolling has been sitting on his hands taking credit for every business that moves to Virginia. Last time I checked, corporations dont factor in the effectiveness of a Lt. Governor before moving into a state.
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