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Shaun Kenney

Shaun Kenney is the Chairman of the Fluvanna County Board of Supervisors, former Communications Director for the Republican Party of Virginia, and an active blogger since 2002. Shaun lives in Thomas Jefferson's backyard with his wife, six children, and a modest attempt at a farm in Kents Store, Virginia.

Comments

6 Responses to "Obama Carter 2012?"

1. 

   valentinus July 26, 2011 13:29 pm

   He’s in Carter territory but I would say he’s just a tad more hostile to all things American. What you would expect from a Harvard faculty hanger on. What William Buckley said.

2. 

   HisRoc July 26, 2011 15:29 pm

   Not to be a spoil-sport, but the only thing missing from the 1980 scenario is Ronald Reagan. And neither Mitt Romney nor Michele Bachmann is a Ronald Reagan. Jon Huntsman seems to be DOA and Tim Pawlenty is stuck in the starting gate. And what are the chances of electing another Texas governor? Meanwhile, Herman Cain seems to have contracted Sarah Palin’s huff-in-mouth disease.

   And if the US defaults on its debt next week, expect a strong third party candidate in 2012–someone along the lines of John Anderson. In the most probable scenario, he will take far more votes from the Republican than he will from Obama. The more conservative the Republican nominee, the more Independent votes the third party candidate will get.

   Obama is doing his damndest to make it easy for the Republicans, but so far the generic Republican is out-polling all the declared Republican candidates.

3. 

   HisRoc July 26, 2011 15:30 pm

   damn, I meant “hoof-in-mouth”

4. 

   valentinus July 26, 2011 17:58 pm

   HisROc,

   Leaving the spoil out of sport, how about a candidate to be named later?

5. 

   HisRoc July 26, 2011 18:22 pm

   valentinus,

   The New Hampshire primary is 6 months, 17 days, 5 hours, and 39 minutes from now. (Don’t you really hate those lame CNN countdown clocks?)

   Any ideas on who that candidate might be? Tempus is fugit-ting.

6. 

   valentinus July 26, 2011 22:16 pm

   HisROC,

   I eased your mind on Trump and Gingrich but still you want more. I happen to think who ends up in Congress is going to be more determinative than which Repub candidate wins (If Obama wins good night Irene). That is almost never the case but given that the crisis is more of a budgetary regulatory nature this time Congress will have more to do with the outcome. As Grover Cleveland found out vetoes are not a panacea. I have been a lonely muser for some time here on Christie getting into the race. I think it’s quite possible. He thought he could skip 2012 with Obama struggling or coasting to victory and do 2016 but he sees that option fading either because of Repub victory or Rubio being the favorite at that point. NJ is also not a great place long run for a union chastiser. I think if he sees a plausible pretext he’ll enter.