Sen. Tommy Norment polling in Sen. John Miller’s district
By Brian Kirwin | Monday, April 4th, 2011 | PoliticsSeveral reports are coming in of a poll being conducted in Democrat Sen. John Miller’s district asking if the election was held today, would you vote for Miller or Sen. Tommy Norment.
It is definitely a Norment poll. The good Senator was shoehorned into a crazy new district thanks to Democrat partisan redistricting and is considering leaping into Miller’s circles and launching a million-dollar campaign.
Look out, Dems. Your amateur-hour redistricting is creating fights you didn’t need.
Tags:
Contribute for Conservatism!
Share this post
About the author
The right wants to jeer him. The left wants to censor him. Moderates usually want both. Brian Kirwin is a political consultant and public relations strategist in Virginia Beach with a lightning-rod flair. Brian also serves on the VB Arts & Humanities Commission and frequently appears on Hampton Roads theatrical stages, if only to prove that all actors aren’t liberals. Kirwin’s columns stir up debate and hit the political scene with no punches pulled.
We're 75% there! Thank you to everyone who has so far contributed! Just $2000 to go!
Comments
7 Responses to "Sen. Tommy Norment polling in Sen. John Miller’s district"
I’d stand with Sen. Norment. He was a great supporter of the Autism Insurance Reform bill in the Senate. Miller is toast if they get thrown into the ring together.
Wow. This would be a very bold, high risk/high reward, move on Norment’s part. He’s probably one of the few people who could knock off Miller in the new district and Norment’s new district (middle peninsula and northern neck) is safe GOP, so if it works it’s +1 for the GOP.
However I’d bet Tricia Stall runs again. More of the new district consists of the one she ran in in 07 than the district Norment is currently in, so she’d be strong in a primary. If Norment could get through a primary he could probably neutralize the inherent Dem advantage with Williamsburg since he’s represented it so long and has been a strong proponent of W&M.
But overall I gotta believe this would be definitely uphill.
The comment about Tricia Stall brings up something I haven’t seen any good work on yet — my theory is that part of the idea behind the senate plan was to make districts that would favor particular republicans that the democrats think are more “extreme” and therefore could more easily be vilified and mayby knocked off.
Has anybody looked at the “safe republican” senate districts to see if there is any sign that this might be the case?
If that is the case Charles, then you want to run McWaters into Blevins and hopefully eliminate Blevins. Rather than Wagner and McWaters. Blevins is a social conservative, but he plays “Big Government” ball with the Democrats. He was on the stinkin’ unconstitutional HRTA board.
True enough, we ran Don Tabor as a Libertarian against Blevins last time and got a little under 30% of the vote with no Democrat in the race. Despite a poor 2nd amendment record, Blevins got the NRA endorsement(they endorse winners not principle) and Don Tabor got the VCDL endorsement.
All of that said, none of those 3 guys is going to be able to be saddled with an extremist label. Not much of a threat to any of them either. Given that, I would think the Dems would rather suck it up on Blevins’s social conservative votes and deal with him as a fiscal friendly.
I haven’t really looked too much into the redistricting thing too much, but that is my 2 cents worth.
This poll is confirmed.
Not clear if Norment is paying for it or the Senate Republican Caucus.
The reason is just what anon said, any Republican could win the new 3rd but the new 1st would be tough for any Republican except Norment, who has represented much of it in the past.
Tommy is a good soldier, but he had better knock off the patronage silliness with some of the major real estate developers in the area or he will give the Dems some campaign issues going forward.
UPDATE: 4th (5th?) iteration of the Senate plan, the one amended onto the House plan, splits Williamsburg’s two precincts into seperate Senate districts. I guess they are trying to get Tommy to stay put. But….it gets better …they used the 2010 precinct boundaries. Changing those boundaries is on next week’s City Council agenda.
Leave your response