Survey USA says Hurt increased his lead to 26 points
By D.J. McGuire | Thursday, September 2nd, 2010 | Politics
Survey USA has updated its well-publicized (and somewhat questioned) poll on the 5th District Congressional race. Back in July, the polling group had Robert Hurt up a whopping 23 points on incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello. It was widely assumed that the gap would shrink – and probably wasn’t that large anyway.
Well, if Survey USA is an outlier, they’re doubling down: the new poll has Hurt up 26 points.
FWIW, when it comes to Virginia elections, Survey USA was the first pollster to notice Tim Kaine leading Jerry Kilgore (Kaine won by 6 points) and the first one to see a landslide sweep for the GOP ticket last year (all won by more than a dozen points). It also has a larger sample than the AAF poll from a couple of weeks ago which had Hurt up only six.
The battle among the pollsters could be almost as interesting as the one among the candidates.
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Former candidate for Board of Supervisors in Spotsylvania, current blogger, economics teacher, and long-rumored windbag. There are two causes closest to the heart: steering the country away from the social democratic nonsense that is sinking Europe, and convincing the rest of the "rightosphere" that the NBA really is a joy to watch.
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17 Responses to "Survey USA says Hurt increased his lead to 26 points"
after 2 hours this morning in a Perriello townhall, this was refreshing news.
Perriello said that he would vote for Pelosi again as Speaker. buy a clue
there’s a reason Perriello rhymes with jello.
>there’s a reason Perriello rhymes with jello.<
Black people like Bill Cosby love him?
Polls smolls.
I am not sure who is to blame for the inaccuracy, but this most recent poll reported on by Survey USA for August is similar to the results they reported for July. Back in July, in a poll taken by Ayres McHenry & Associates for the pro-Republican group American Action Forum they reported only a 6% lead for Hurt.
I’m beginning to think Survey USA’s results can’t be trusted. Do their results pass the common sense test? I’m not sure what the problem is with Survey USA but the results they come up with for some reason do not seem to reflect reality.
“Still, he could lose this district”
“Toto, I’ve a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore.”
“One possible indication of how bad things are: Rep. Tom Perriello’s re-election bid. He’s a progressive populist Democrat who narrowly beat a Republican incumbent in 2008 in a Republican-leaning district (full of Bible Belt turf) in the central and southern portion of Virginia. Since then, he’s been an active and engaged representative, working his district hard, pushing for jobs for his constituents. He voted for Obama’s stimulus and health care reform bill, but he has criticized the administration for being too cozy with corporations and for not doing enough to create good-paying jobs in the United States. And he’s no flaming lib. He supports gun rights, and he backed the anti-abortion Stupak amendment during the health care legislation debate. He’s raised sufficient money. He’s aired good-humored ads promoting his endeavors to win jobs for the district.
This summer, I spent a few days with Perriello and concluded that he’s basically doing everything right. Still, he could lose this district, which was indeed designed to be an easy GOP win. A recent poll showed Perriello trailing his opponent, a Republican state senator, 61 to 35 percent. There’s been criticism of this survey, but even if it’s off by 10 points, that’s a damn troubling sign for Perriello and discouraging news for his fellow Dems.”
Campaign 2010: Hill Dems Getting Steamed at Obama?
http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/09/03/campaign-2010-hill-dems-getting-steamed-at-obama/
“Still, he could lose this district”
Someone thinks that there is a CHANCE that Perriello just might lose this election.
“Lions, and tigers, and bears! Oh, my!
Now I… I know we’re not in Kansas! “
well, I never believed Gov McD could possibly swamp Deeds the way he did. yet he did.
I suspect we’ll see some more polls come out in the next 3 weeks.
Kelley did you think Perriello would have beaten Virgil Goode ?
nope, I sure didn’t think Perriello could beat Goode. And I am embarrassed to say that I paid no attention to the Cong race of ’08 because of my fascination with the Presidential race. Other than voting for Cong. Goode, I didn’t give the Cong race a 2d thought. There are many of us in the 5th that wish we had worked to get Cong Goode those 3 votes per precinct to keep him in office.
But I’ve thought of little else since 08. And my goodness, Perriello has voted with Pelosi over & over, time after time. He put the election bulls-eye on his own back.
If Perriello has such tremendous name ID, yet can’t break 40%, he is in trouble. His big money will move the polls #s some. The DNC & the unions are promising more money & boots on the ground: that should help him, too. And elevating Jeff Clark will also move poll #s but not enough for Perriello to win.
This is Robert Hurt’s race to lose.
Kelley we finally agree on someting.If we had gotten off our ass in 2008 Virgil Goode would be in office now that includes you AND me.I have to do someting I hate doing I have to go back on my word and vote for Robert Hurt.I hope Hurt will stay conservative if he gets elected if not alot of people will be pissed off.Perriello needs his hands tied or he will keep stealing from the tax payers he even admits this himself.I would have rather had Mike McPadden in congress but Robert Hurt has got to be better than Tommy Pelosi.
“Toto, I’ve a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore.”
“Let’s make sure the president we should have elected in 2008 will be on the ballot in 2012.”
“In my opinion, we need the Clintons back in the White House to fix this country,” he told FoxNews.com. “I don’t think we’re going in the right direction. I don’t like this administration. I think they’re ruining the Democratic Party.”
“My ad is expressing what everyone is thinking,” he added.
The ad is a 30-second ode of pure adulation, with a portrait of Clinton rotating to symphonic music.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/09/03/clinton-fan-releases-hillary-ad/
“Lions, and tigers, and bears! Oh, my!
Now I… I know we’re not in Kansas! “
“Toto, I’ve a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore.”
“Let’s make sure the president we should have elected in 2008 will be on the ballot in 2012.”
“In my opinion, we need the Clintons back in the White House to fix this country,” he told FoxNews.com. “I don’t think we’re going in the right direction. I don’t like this administration. I think they’re ruining the Democratic Party.”
“My ad is expressing what everyone is thinking,” he added.
The ad is a 30-second ode of pure adulation, with a portrait of Clinton rotating to symphonic music.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/09/03/clinton-fan-releases-hillary-ad/
“Lions, and tigers, and bears! Oh, my!
Now I… I know we’re not in Kansas! “
[...] the 9th Jason | September 4, 2010 | Comments (0) On Thursday, SurveyUSA released its most recent poll of the 5th District race showing state Sen. Robert Hurt increasing his lead over Rep. Tom Perriello. [...]
[...] that Perriello’s chance of reelection are slim. Recent polling, as noted over at Bearing Drift, has Hurt up 26 points on [...]
not only at Common Sense. go over to NLS where all the latest articles are highlighted. The DNC is all but abandoning Perriello.
but the unions still like him; he’s got $2.3 million dollars; he still has some whacky libs on his side—continued campaigning for Robert Hurt is still necessary.
[...] the 9th Jason | September 4, 2010 | Comments (2) On Thursday, SurveyUSA released its most recent poll of the 5th District race showing state Sen. Robert Hurt increasing his lead over Rep. Tom Perriello. [...]
[...] in a manner to minimize its losses on November 2. Down 26-points in the most recent public poll, Rep. Tom Perriello is reportedly one of the candidates from whom the Democratic Congressional [...]
[...] polls have shown Hurt leading anywhere from two to twenty six points. Whether or not the NRA will have an impact depends on when end of the spectrum the real [...]
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