Comments on: NYT: In Praise Of Terry McAuliffe And The Campaign That Could Have Been http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/ Sat, 26 May 2012 13:50:51 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: » 2009 Election Results or There is No “I” in Team, But There is in Palin http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/#comment-22321 » 2009 Election Results or There is No “I” in Team, But There is in Palin Fri, 06 Nov 2009 23:08:08 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=9200#comment-22321 [...] weeks before the election the New York Times‘ Jason Kenney wrote “In Praise of Terry McAuliffe and the Campaign That Could Have Been.”  Last July a Washington Times story noted “McAuliffe’s big donors hold back [...] [...] weeks before the election the New York Times‘ Jason Kenney wrote “In Praise of Terry McAuliffe and the Campaign That Could Have Been.”  Last July a Washington Times story noted “McAuliffe’s big donors hold back [...]

]]> By: Amit http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/#comment-21625 Amit Tue, 13 Oct 2009 22:17:45 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=9200#comment-21625 although I'm glad T-Mac didn't win the primary atleast he talked about jobs and transportation. although I’m glad T-Mac didn’t win the primary atleast he talked about jobs and transportation.

]]> By: Tom White http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/#comment-21624 Tom White Tue, 13 Oct 2009 18:50:05 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=9200#comment-21624 Great post, Jason. The WaPo endorsement of Deeds in the primary had a definite positive effect on Deeds' win. The extent is arguable. What the NYT article says to me is they are saying the WaPo is out of touch. They endorsed an inferior candidate and should have gone with T Mac. Great post, Jason.

The WaPo endorsement of Deeds in the primary had a definite positive effect on Deeds’ win. The extent is arguable.

What the NYT article says to me is they are saying the WaPo is out of touch. They endorsed an inferior candidate and should have gone with T Mac.

]]> By: D.J. McGuire http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/#comment-21621 D.J. McGuire Tue, 13 Oct 2009 17:35:10 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=9200#comment-21621 After looking through the primary numbers, I can see your point about RoVa, but I still think the Post endorsement was critical. It may not have doubled Deeds vote all by itself, but it gave Deeds credibility with Dem voters that allowed many of them to stop casting "blocking" votes (T-Mac to stop Moran and vice versa) and back Deeds. What the WaPo did (accidentally) was wipe out the hollowed-out facade Deeds had built as a centrist Democrat. After looking through the primary numbers, I can see your point about RoVa, but I still think the Post endorsement was critical. It may not have doubled Deeds vote all by itself, but it gave Deeds credibility with Dem voters that allowed many of them to stop casting “blocking” votes (T-Mac to stop Moran and vice versa) and back Deeds.

What the WaPo did (accidentally) was wipe out the hollowed-out facade Deeds had built as a centrist Democrat.

]]> By: Jason Kenney http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/#comment-21616 Jason Kenney Tue, 13 Oct 2009 15:22:09 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=9200#comment-21616 DJ - I don't think the WaPo alone is responsible for Deeds garnering almost as many votes as both Moran and McAuliffe COMBINED. We're talking at least a 15% bump merely because the WaPo chimed in, which is giving the paper a bit too much credit, IMO. I think what worked best for Deeds was his ground game outside of NOVA, and maybe he's doing that to this day but you're not hearing about it. March, April, May, Deeds was attending fish frys in Richmond, Hampton Roads, visiting African American churches and going into rural areas to stump. He was connecting with ROVA while going up north once in a while, just enough to keep himself in play there, something he failed to do in 2005. Where when he ran for AG in 2005 he rarely (if ever) went to NOVA, now he's over correcting, spending too much time in NOVA, putting his base of operations up there and running his campaign as one that specifically appeals to that region. Deeds has the ability to connect to the rest of Virginia in ways Moran and McAuliffe could not. McAuliffe would have difficulty pulling the Democratic base behind him short of talking a good talk and putting up a heck of a fight. Maybe they'd be more energized, but when his negatives started in the mid 40s (as NTG points out), he couldn't hit McD hard enough to bring McD's numbers down. Springtime Deeds would have had a chance. Summertime Deeds blew it. DJ – I don’t think the WaPo alone is responsible for Deeds garnering almost as many votes as both Moran and McAuliffe COMBINED. We’re talking at least a 15% bump merely because the WaPo chimed in, which is giving the paper a bit too much credit, IMO.

I think what worked best for Deeds was his ground game outside of NOVA, and maybe he’s doing that to this day but you’re not hearing about it. March, April, May, Deeds was attending fish frys in Richmond, Hampton Roads, visiting African American churches and going into rural areas to stump. He was connecting with ROVA while going up north once in a while, just enough to keep himself in play there, something he failed to do in 2005.

Where when he ran for AG in 2005 he rarely (if ever) went to NOVA, now he’s over correcting, spending too much time in NOVA, putting his base of operations up there and running his campaign as one that specifically appeals to that region.

Deeds has the ability to connect to the rest of Virginia in ways Moran and McAuliffe could not. McAuliffe would have difficulty pulling the Democratic base behind him short of talking a good talk and putting up a heck of a fight. Maybe they’d be more energized, but when his negatives started in the mid 40s (as NTG points out), he couldn’t hit McD hard enough to bring McD’s numbers down.

Springtime Deeds would have had a chance. Summertime Deeds blew it.

]]> By: D.J. McGuire http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/#comment-21615 D.J. McGuire Tue, 13 Oct 2009 15:10:09 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=9200#comment-21615 I must respectfully disagree (and may have a post of my own on this during lunch). Deeds was nowhere until the Washington Post endorsed him. That gave him the credibility to win over Moran voters in NoVa (who didn't like T-Mac). The resulting poll surge subsequently made him credible to T-Mac voters outside NoVa (who were maily looking to block Moran). Hesto presto, nominee Deeds. The one commonality between Warner 01 and Kaine 05 was this: tell voters you won't raise taxes. Only T-Mac (with no record) could have pulled that off. Deeds didn't have (and in my opinion, doesn't have) a prayer. I must respectfully disagree (and may have a post of my own on this during lunch). Deeds was nowhere until the Washington Post endorsed him. That gave him the credibility to win over Moran voters in NoVa (who didn’t like T-Mac). The resulting poll surge subsequently made him credible to T-Mac voters outside NoVa (who were maily looking to block Moran). Hesto presto, nominee Deeds.

The one commonality between Warner 01 and Kaine 05 was this: tell voters you won’t raise taxes. Only T-Mac (with no record) could have pulled that off. Deeds didn’t have (and in my opinion, doesn’t have) a prayer.

]]> By: NotTimothyGeithner http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/#comment-21614 NotTimothyGeithner Tue, 13 Oct 2009 14:41:02 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=9200#comment-21614 The elite media was incredulous that us backwards folks in Virgina didn't feel blessed to have Terry installed in the Governor's mansion. They're incredulous that a Washington insider was rejected. More than likely, Terry had a ceiling of votes because of his negatives, lack Democratic enthusiasm because of the cycle, and division within the primary electorate of less than 45%. He probably hurt the eventual nominee by sucking up oxygen and putting a lot of Democrats in a "wait and see mode." The elite media was incredulous that us backwards folks in Virgina didn’t feel blessed to have Terry installed in the Governor’s mansion. They’re incredulous that a Washington insider was rejected.

More than likely, Terry had a ceiling of votes because of his negatives, lack Democratic enthusiasm because of the cycle, and division within the primary electorate of less than 45%. He probably hurt the eventual nominee by sucking up oxygen and putting a lot of Democrats in a “wait and see mode.”

]]> By: Freddie http://bearingdrift.com/2009/10/13/nyt-in-praise-of-terry-mcauliffe-and-the-campaign-that-could-have-been/#comment-21613 Freddie Tue, 13 Oct 2009 14:34:29 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=9200#comment-21613 Brian Moran does not even get a mention in the NYT article. Brian Moran does not even get a mention in the NYT article.

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