BREAKING: New Poll Has Bob +14, Bill +13, Ken +11
By | Tuesday, September 29th, 2009 | Politics

SurveyUSA’s new poll is out, trampling the ‘momentum’ generated from a flawed PPP poll this morning. September with a double digit lead? Deeds’ Tuesday just got a whole lot worse. Notes:

- Bob McDonell +14 (55/41, with just 4% undecided); Bill Bolling +13 (54/41, with 5% undecided); Ken Cuccinelli +11 (53/42, with 5% undecided)

Bob McDonnell notes
- +17 among men, +10 among women (what thesis?)

- A stunning +24 among independents

- Attracting 13% of Obama voters, against Deeds 7% of McCain voters

- SurveyUSA breaks Virginia down into 4 sections, with Bob’s closest margin of +2 in ‘northeast’ which includes NoVa, and a far more realistic +9 in ‘southeast’ which includes Hampton Roads

- Gun owners favor Bob 68/31

Bill Bolling notes:

- Has more liberal support than Bob, 15% vs 11%, respectively

- Higher points in ‘northeast’ than Bob, 50 vs 43

Ken Cuccinelli notes:

- attracts more Obama voters than any Republican statewide candidate, 15%

- has ‘tightest’ independent gap, (only) +17

Now, being fair, this poll more than likely skews heavier Republican than other polls (37R/32D/29I) but given the enthusiasm gap in this election, that’s arguably expected, but may be slightly higher than typical. This poll is likely voters and has a better cross-reference of geographical areas than the PPP poll.

The truth is Bob’s lead is somewhere between this poll, +14 and the PPP showing +5. Regardless, Republicans remain on track for a clean sweep this November. All candidates have done a great job ignoring the polls and running as if they’re ten points behind.

Maybe that Linwood Holton endorsement today will cut into this lead?

*cricket*

Or not.


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About the author

D.J. Spiker

Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right...entrenched on the right as a member of the Establishment, proudly tattooed member of the Republican Party, bartender by trade serving both sides the libations needed to continue the debate and discourse. College student, ten years late, majoring in Public Policy and Administration with an eye to serving the conservative and Republican movement in the public or private sector. ducit amor patriae You can find D.J.on facebook, Twitter, or contact via email at gosport.conservative@gmail.com. You can find D.J.on facebook, Twitter, or contact via email at gosport.conservative@gmail.com.

Comments

One Response to "BREAKING: New Poll Has Bob +14, Bill +13, Ken +11"
  1. New ads focus on policy and social issues | Bearing Drift :: Virginia Politics On-Demand October 2, 2009 15:52 pm

    [...] [0] Digg it!Facebook As support for abortion rights has slipped to below 47%, as he’s trailing in the polls by 14 points – despite trying to hammer McDonnell for the thesis, as even the DNC is contemplating where to [...]

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