Deeds looks to polling and castration to change momentum?
By JR Hoeft | Saturday, August 1st, 2009 | PoliticsShaun has two interesting posts up this weekend about Democratic gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds.
First, Deeds justifies his “experience” in dealing with the Virginia economy by claiming that he knows how to “castrate” animals (Personally, we don’t need to go that far; spending cuts is the only cutting we really need).
Second, Democrats have called into Virginia “Public Policy Polling” again – a mere month after their last one. After both Survey USA and Rasmussen have shown McDonnell to have the lead (Survey USA by double-digits and a nine-point swing to McDonnell in Rasmussen), the Deeds camp likely senses they need a poll to show narrower margins and stop the McDonnell momentum.
Shaun writes:
Deeds isn’t in freefall just yet, but when someone is constantly checking the temperature of the patient, that’s not a sign that Democrats internally are thinking surge — they’re trying to stop the bleeding.
Indeed.
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Conservative to the core; liberal with his opinion! J.R. has been involved in politics for over a decade and has worked on several campaigns in Hampton Roads. He has served on the Executive Committee of the Republican Party of Chesapeake and the Central Committee of the Republican Party of Virginia. He is also the director of “Blogs United” in Virginia. E-mail J.R.. Follow J.R. on Twitter.
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5 Responses to "Deeds looks to polling and castration to change momentum?"
Check out the pollsters’ twitter, http://twitter.com/ppppolls
“doesn’t look like deeds is down by 15 but doesn’t look too good either…we’ll see how it progresses over the weekend”
Look too good? no bias there, huh? See how it progresses?
You know something, if PPP comes back with a poll showing another double-digit deficit, it could be right to say that that Deeds is in freefall.
Deeds has blown a what — 9 point lead? — to head towards a 15 point deficit. That’s a 24 point loss over the course of two months. Deeds refuses to campaign with Obama, Wagner and Shannon are floundering… I think Virginia has finally gotten over it’s blue flu.
The only question is what with the DNC do with Virginia and New Jersey in tumble mode.
Two comments:
First, PPP is open about their partisanship, which I suppose is somewhat commendable. I’ve never been a big fan of theirs, but I see no reason to treat their results with any less weight than anyone else.
Second, they are doing monthly polls in Virginia; no one “called them in”.
Uh huh. And Democrat activists calling them during the phoning phase to check out “how it’s going” is EXACTLY what I read studying research methodology in college.
In fact, they had entire chapters about how if your were open about how biased you were, it had absolutely no impact on the validity of your results.
And when the pollster would tweet to the pool of respondents about how the responses were going in the middle of the research just shot you up the charts of the most professional and reliable data collection ever conceived.
yeah.
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