Democrats Vaguely Lead In Early Governor Polling
By | Wednesday, October 29th, 2008 | Catch-All

The Washington Post included a question in their latest federal polling asking Virginians if they prefered a Democrat or Republican governor in 2009:

Of registered voters, 48 percent prefer a Democratic governor vs. 31 percent who want a Republican.

According to the survey, a generic Democratic gubernatorial nominee starts the year with the same coalition of support that led to the election as governor of Mark R. Warner (D) in 2001 and Timothy M. Kaine (D) in 2005.

The survey, which shows voters in Northern Virginia favoring Democrats by 57 percent to 25 percent, sets the stage for another hard-fought political contest in the Old Dominion next year.

There are a lot of reasons to not worry about this poll.  Starters, it’d be interesting to see the split of D/R ID in the poll.  Second is that turnout for statewide compared to federal is nowhere near even.  In a routinely horrible year for Republicans on a federal level you will certainly see a more favorable outlook toward a Democratic governor than Republican, but when it comes to the actual race that trend will mellow out.

Interesting that the WaPo snuck this question in there, though.


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About the author

Jason Kenney

Jason Kenney has blogged at J’s Notes since 2001, is the director of RedStormPAC providing online fundraising for Republican candidates in Virginia, and co-founder of K6 Consulting. He is a graduate from Virginia Commonwealth University and resides in Richmond, Virginia.

Comments

2 Responses to "Democrats Vaguely Lead In Early Governor Polling"
  1. LittleDavid October 29, 2008 19:56 pm

    Yeah, we might still prefer a Democrat. Just as long as the Democrat isn’t Kaine.

  2. Jeremy Hinton October 30, 2008 00:08 am

    That has to be the first time i’ve a 17 point polling difference described as “vaguely lead”. Or does the vaguely apply to the generic party nature of the poll and not to the word lead?

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