Democrats Vaguely Lead In Early Governor Polling
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Of registered voters, 48 percent prefer a Democratic governor vs. 31 percent who want a Republican.
According to the survey, a generic Democratic gubernatorial nominee starts the year with the same coalition of support that led to the election as governor of Mark R. Warner (D) in 2001 and Timothy M. Kaine (D) in 2005.
The survey, which shows voters in Northern Virginia favoring Democrats by 57 percent to 25 percent, sets the stage for another hard-fought political contest in the Old Dominion next year.
There are a lot of reasons to not worry about this poll. Starters, it’d be interesting to see the split of D/R ID in the poll. Second is that turnout for statewide compared to federal is nowhere near even. In a routinely horrible year for Republicans on a federal level you will certainly see a more favorable outlook toward a Democratic governor than Republican, but when it comes to the actual race that trend will mellow out.
Interesting that the WaPo snuck this question in there, though.
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Yeah, we might still prefer a Democrat. Just as long as the Democrat isn’t Kaine.
That has to be the first time i’ve a 17 point polling difference described as “vaguely lead”. Or does the vaguely apply to the generic party nature of the poll and not to the word lead?