Women not sold on Palin
By | Monday, September 8th, 2008 | Politics

In what might be the most interesting aspect of this entire election season: Sen. John McCain’s pick of Gov. Sarah Palin has actually widened the gender gap — where more men prefer the Republicans and more women prefer the Democrats.

According to “The Hotline” – National Journal’s Daily Political Briefing:

– McCain’s surge is being driven largely by men. Which, in the words of FD pollsters, has turned a gender gap into a chasm. McCain leads Obama among men by 13 pts (it was tied post-Denver), while Obama leads McCain among women by the same margin.

– Even so, McCain’s bigger quest is to find a way to cut into Obama’s lead among women. McCain’s doing 2 pts better among men than Pres. Bush did in ’04, but he’s running 10 pts behind Bush’s ’04 performance among women.

– Can Palin help? That’s what McCain hopes. Right now, however, women are slightly less sold on Palin than men. Perhaps we’ll see less pit bull and more People magazine from now on.

Has selecting Palin actually driven women more towards the Democratic ticket? I know it sounds counter intuitive, but in some discussions I have had with women over the past couple weeks, I know there is a high degree of skepticism in McCain’s choice. Whereas men are completely comfortable with the selection and feel like Ronald Reagan is now on the ballot.


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About the author

JR Hoeft

Conservative to the core; liberal with his opinion! J.R. has been involved in politics for over a decade and has worked on several campaigns in Hampton Roads. He has served on the Executive Committee of the Republican Party of Chesapeake and the Central Committee of the Republican Party of Virginia. He is also the director of “Blogs United” in Virginia. E-mail J.R.. Follow J.R. on Twitter.

Comments

11 Responses to "Women not sold on Palin"
  1. Brian Kirwin September 8, 2008 15:16 pm

    I’m watching CNN, and their attacking Palin for being “religious”

    Keep it up, Lefties.

  2. EJ September 8, 2008 15:28 pm

    this poll is interesting, because the rasmussen polls are showing just the oposite. While pre-palin, obama has up to a 15 point lead amongst women, he now only has a 3 point lead…

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

    and ive seen similar results in other polls. Only one can be true.

  3. Britt Howard September 8, 2008 16:39 pm

    Dems are taking a page from Hermann Goering and Josef Goebbels.

    “Repeat a lie often enough and it becomes truth.”

    I’ve also seen evidence to the contrary. Palin is a big plus for McCain and the “Left” is beside themselves with concern.

    Palin’s promise to become an advocate for special needs children had an affect on women that were even staunch Democrats. That comment tapped a constituency that isn’t used to hearing their concerns being addressed on a national scale.

    I accidently watched “The View” and heard them comment on Palin’s address at the convention. While critical of some remarks Palin made, they were fairly even handed and that was with the token conservative missing as she was attending the convention. One of the ladies has a special needs child and she addressed that promise of advocacy. It was clear that she was affected by that very positively.

    I don’t buy that Palin is a negative among women. Well, …….with the exception of those that believe you stop being a woman after becoming Republican. In which case, hatred for Palin will increase in direct proportion to her increasing effectiveness.

  4. FrenchytheSailor September 8, 2008 17:57 pm

    Brian,

    I have a serious question. (This is not an attack).

    Don’t those of us Americans who are not Christian have a right to know what the beliefs are of the people we’re electing?

    As much as the founding fathers hoped for a seperation of Church and State, no one can dispute that regious organizations weld a lot of influence in Washington.

    Don’t we have a right to know if a candidates beliefs are extreme? (And I’m not saying Palin’s are, but “if” she’s stocking her bunker for the End of Days, I’d like to know).

  5. Mark September 8, 2008 18:19 pm

    Brian – Dude, I go to a church which you would probably call evangelical or fundamentalist, I have a deep Christian belief – and I have some serious questions about her take on our faith. Anyone who believes that the war in Iraq is some kind of holy crusade on behalf of God (which she has said repeatedly) is a nut job – just like Al Qaeda and those kooks – and should never be given the keys to our military.

    As for the other stuff. No surprise that she is driving women away. Her pro-life stance includes prohibiting abortions as a result of rape or incest. Even many main-line Christian denominations don’t go that far.

    Besides that, there are SERIOUS questions about her ability to govern. She left her town with their first budget deficit, she raised the sales tax, etc. If you look into her background she’s basically the Republican version of Hillary.

    Last thing – Britt Howard, did you know that you were quoting Karl Rove’s playbook?

  6. Not Joel Rubin September 8, 2008 21:32 pm

    Let me get this straight…Palin did such a bad job as Mayor that they elected her Governor who went to get massive job approval ratings? Sounds to me like a bit of wishful thinking

  7. Mark September 8, 2008 21:36 pm

    Hey – before anyone calls me out on going over the top on the Palin thing, clearly I don’t think she is qualified to be VP. But, I did overstate my position.

    Joel – She is re-distributing wealth in Alaska. Each Alaska resident is receiving more than $3,000 dollars from the government this year. Might make any politician popular…

  8. EJ September 8, 2008 21:59 pm

    mark,

    but that 3000 is part of alaska’s “permanent wealth” fund where taxed on oil and other mineral wealth are distributed as mandate dint he state constitution. Every alaska governor since statehood has done that.

    Now its ironic that alaska, a very republican state is also the most welfare state/ socialist one in nature (except maybe massachusetts… im a former masshole :) ). But that is not the reason why shes so popular.

  9. FrenchytheSailor September 8, 2008 22:00 pm

    Britt, If anyone took a page from the Goering it was Bush and Co.

    “Naturally the common people don’t want war; neither in Russia, nor in England, nor in America, nor in Germany. That is understood. But after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine policy, and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is to tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same in any country.”
    – Hermann Goering

  10. Duck September 9, 2008 07:23 am

    Washington Post has McCain up 12% among women today.

    Why is Palin’s religion such a big issue among people? She’s the VP nominee. Obama’s the P nominee and his church–and no matter what he says, he–is a religious radical.

    I do not have a problem with Palin’s AG beliefs in part because I have attended a number of AG churches in the past. I don’t current attended an AG church, but I have a number of AG friends. AGers have many similiarities with fundamentalists and evangelicals. They are a little freer in their worship which freaks out some more conservative worshipers.

    AGers are generally very outspoken, and yes they can be whacky at times. But he among you who is w/o sin should cast the first stone.

    There is maybe 5% of what AGers believe that more traditional Christians would not agree with. You should not fear an AGer any more than you should fear a Catholic or Baptists. AGers are defined first and foremost by their passion and their conviction that we should all live moral lives. If you find that scary, don’t vote for Palin.

    And while AGers do believe in the Rapture, only a very small percent of them actually stock up for the Rapture. Most of us Rapture believers believe God will take care of us if we are alive then.

  11. Brian Kirwin September 9, 2008 08:31 am

    Mark, do main line Christians think it’s ok to kill a baby depending on how it was conceived?

    I’m not giving my personal view, but just wondering how, if a religion thinks life begins at conception, that whether the conception was consensual shouldn’t decide whether or not it’s a life.

    Frenchy,

    You have the right to say, ask and think anything you want. And I have the right to question why religious and church involvement in politics is a cause for celebration for a Democrat and dangerously negative for a Republican.

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