Comments on: McCain’s strategy paying poll dividends http://bearingdrift.com/2008/09/08/mccains-strategy-paying-poll-dividends/ Fri, 25 May 2012 11:12:12 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Jeremy Hinton http://bearingdrift.com/2008/09/08/mccains-strategy-paying-poll-dividends/#comment-6696 Jeremy Hinton Tue, 09 Sep 2008 04:55:25 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=1336#comment-6696 NJR, thats sounds logical. By stretching a polls period, you could somewhat counteract the effect of daily fluctuations. However, I don't have to have acted in an Uwe Boll movie to tell you they suck, nor do you have to commission a poll to see some rough results. No, I am not nor have i ever claimed to be a pollster or a savant on the subject. But i have dug through some of the raw poll summaries available (from electoral-vote.com and elsewhere), and IIRC the USA Today/Gallup poll is a 3 day poll, and i also seem to remember seeing that poll bounce around a little. If I'm wrong please feel free to correct me. NJR, thats sounds logical. By stretching a polls period, you could somewhat counteract the effect of daily fluctuations.

However, I don’t have to have acted in an Uwe Boll movie to tell you they suck, nor do you have to commission a poll to see some rough results. No, I am not nor have i ever claimed to be a pollster or a savant on the subject. But i have dug through some of the raw poll summaries available (from electoral-vote.com and elsewhere), and IIRC the USA Today/Gallup poll is a 3 day poll, and i also seem to remember seeing that poll bounce around a little. If I’m wrong please feel free to correct me.

]]> By: Not Joel Rubin http://bearingdrift.com/2008/09/08/mccains-strategy-paying-poll-dividends/#comment-6690 Not Joel Rubin Tue, 09 Sep 2008 01:35:54 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=1336#comment-6690 JH - just curious and I'm not trying to pry, but exactly how many of those 3-day polls have you commissioned for political candidates? What experience on variation are you recalling? A three day poll is probably the best actually because while a poll is merely a snapshot of voter sentiment, at least the lens is open for three days and not two or one. There is less room for timing a poll to get a pre-determined answer in this format. JH – just curious and I’m not trying to pry, but exactly how many of those 3-day polls have you commissioned for political candidates? What experience on variation are you recalling? A three day poll is probably the best actually because while a poll is merely a snapshot of voter sentiment, at least the lens is open for three days and not two or one. There is less room for timing a poll to get a pre-determined answer in this format.

]]> By: Jeremy Hinton http://bearingdrift.com/2008/09/08/mccains-strategy-paying-poll-dividends/#comment-6665 Jeremy Hinton Mon, 08 Sep 2008 14:10:26 +0000 http://bearingdrift.com/?p=1336#comment-6665 McCain's timing on Palin was excellent, it certainly sucked the attention away from the Dem convention and deflated any convention bounce they would have otherwise gotten. There tends to be a lot of variation if i recall in those 3-day polls, i'll be curious to see if the bounce lasts any sustained amount of time. McCain’s timing on Palin was excellent, it certainly sucked the attention away from the Dem convention and deflated any convention bounce they would have otherwise gotten.

There tends to be a lot of variation if i recall in those 3-day polls, i’ll be curious to see if the bounce lasts any sustained amount of time.

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