McCain surges in polls; takes Virginia-trend national
By JR Hoeft | Thursday, April 10th, 2008 | PoliticsOn Mar. 31, we saw John McCain doing very well over both Obama and Clinton in Virginia, leading both by double-digits (11 and 22 points respectively). This week, the AP-Ipsos poll confirms that trend, stating that since February McCain has erased leads by both Obama and Clinton nationally:
An AP-Ipsos poll taken in late February had Obama leading McCain 51-41 percent. The current survey, conducted April 7-9, had them at 45 percent each. McCain leads Obama among men, whites, Southerners, married women and independents.
Clinton led McCain, 48-43 percent, in February. The latest survey showed the New York senator with 48 percent support to McCain’s 45 percent. Factoring in the poll’s margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, Clinton and McCain are statistically tied.
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Conservative to the core; liberal with his opinion! J.R. has been involved in politics for over a decade and has worked on several campaigns in Hampton Roads. He has served on the Executive Committee of the Republican Party of Chesapeake and the Central Committee of the Republican Party of Virginia. He is also the director of “Blogs United” in Virginia. E-mail J.R.. Follow J.R. on Twitter.
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One Response to "McCain surges in polls; takes Virginia-trend national"
When the Democratic primaries end and the Democrats have a candidate, the real race will jell.
Right now, McCain is pretty much getting a free ride. But with a weakening economy, growing dissatisfaction over Iraq, and a general sense that the country is going in the wrong direction, the race will again tighten and the Democrats will lead.
According to both CBS and CNN 81 percent of Americans say the country is headed in the wrong direction and are deeply worried about the economy.
Any time the sense of the country is that it is moving in the wrong direction, it spells trouble for the party in power. And 81 percent is a huge number to feel that way.
Unless McCain seriously disavows Bush’s economic policies, I think he will be in trouble once the focus is on the differences between him and our nominee.
I don’t see him walking away from Bush’s policies. And, frankly, he’s weakest on the economy anyway.
By the time the race begins in earnest, after both convention, the economy will be the major issue, not the war in Iraq. That’s why I think he will not win.
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